Copper imports, including semi-finished products like wire and derivative items such as cables and connectors, became subject to Section 232 national security tariffs in August 2025 at a 50 percent rate on semi-finished goods. April 2026 and June 2026 presidential proclamations restructured the regime to apply duties on the full customs value of covered articles and derivatives, setting 50 percent rates on metal-intensive products and 25 percent on many derivatives while introducing preferential rates for U.S.-origin content or certain trading partners. Commerce Department and USTR processes allow ongoing additions to the covered list. As of mid-September 2026, administration consideration of further tariffs on refined copper has stalled amid concerns over domestic manufacturing costs and supply chain impacts, leaving classification and scope decisions for specific cable products as key variables for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$15,587 交易量
2026年12月31日
24%
2027年12月31日
43%
$15,587 交易量
2026年12月31日
24%
2027年12月31日
43%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a legally operative Section 232 instrument subjects all articles under this line to a duty above 0%, a tariff-rate quota, an absolute quota, or another quantitative restriction by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, legally operative Section 232 instruments include but are not limited to: a presidential proclamation, a Commerce-USTR determination under that proclamation's clause 11 process, another Federal Register or chapter 99 action under Section 232 authority, or an Act of Congress.
A qualifying instrument may name the line itself or any broader provision that fully includes it (e.g., tariff line 8544.49.30, subheading 8544.49, or heading 8544). If USITC renumbers the line, its successor will count the same way.
A qualifying instrument must be enacted, signed, or otherwise put into legal operation by the specified date, regardless of whether the instrument stipulates a later date of enforcement.
Tariff imposition will qualify regardless of whether there exist 0% in-quota rates, country carve-outs, metal-content thresholds, phased effective dates, or other conditions.
Only tariffs imposed on HTSUS statistical line 8544.49.3040 will qualify. Coverage of only a subset or end use (e.g., wind-turbine or data-center cable only), additions limited to sister line 8544.49.3080, investigation steps, reports, proposals, or announcements without a signed operative instrument, one chamber passage, instruments whose only effect is a 0% rate or an exemption, and tariffs under any other authority (e.g., Section 301, IEEPA, AD/CVD, reciprocal) will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
市場開放時間: Jul 22, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a legally operative Section 232 instrument subjects all articles under this line to a duty above 0%, a tariff-rate quota, an absolute quota, or another quantitative restriction by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, legally operative Section 232 instruments include but are not limited to: a presidential proclamation, a Commerce-USTR determination under that proclamation's clause 11 process, another Federal Register or chapter 99 action under Section 232 authority, or an Act of Congress.
A qualifying instrument may name the line itself or any broader provision that fully includes it (e.g., tariff line 8544.49.30, subheading 8544.49, or heading 8544). If USITC renumbers the line, its successor will count the same way.
A qualifying instrument must be enacted, signed, or otherwise put into legal operation by the specified date, regardless of whether the instrument stipulates a later date of enforcement.
Tariff imposition will qualify regardless of whether there exist 0% in-quota rates, country carve-outs, metal-content thresholds, phased effective dates, or other conditions.
Only tariffs imposed on HTSUS statistical line 8544.49.3040 will qualify. Coverage of only a subset or end use (e.g., wind-turbine or data-center cable only), additions limited to sister line 8544.49.3080, investigation steps, reports, proposals, or announcements without a signed operative instrument, one chamber passage, instruments whose only effect is a 0% rate or an exemption, and tariffs under any other authority (e.g., Section 301, IEEPA, AD/CVD, reciprocal) will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Copper imports, including semi-finished products like wire and derivative items such as cables and connectors, became subject to Section 232 national security tariffs in August 2025 at a 50 percent rate on semi-finished goods. April 2026 and June 2026 presidential proclamations restructured the regime to apply duties on the full customs value of covered articles and derivatives, setting 50 percent rates on metal-intensive products and 25 percent on many derivatives while introducing preferential rates for U.S.-origin content or certain trading partners. Commerce Department and USTR processes allow ongoing additions to the covered list. As of mid-September 2026, administration consideration of further tariffs on refined copper has stalled amid concerns over domestic manufacturing costs and supply chain impacts, leaving classification and scope decisions for specific cable products as key variables for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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