Multiple 6.0+ earthquakes struck during August 2026, led by a Mw 7.8 event on the Flores back-arc thrust fault offshore Indonesia on August 14–15 that produced MMI VIII shaking and a small tsunami, followed by a Mw 7.4 in Colombia’s Chocó region on August 10 and a Mw 6.7 in Peru. USGS and BMKG catalogs confirm at least a dozen additional 6.0–6.9 events, concentrated along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other active subduction zones, aligning with typical annual global rates of roughly 15–20 such quakes. Resolution hinges on official magnitude thresholds and epicenter locations in final USGS ComCat data, with no further updates expected after month-end. Traders weigh regional clustering against historical baselines for these tectonically active areas.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於到8月底， 6.0以上的地震會在哪裡發生？
到8月底， 6.0以上的地震會在哪裡發生？
$28,158 交易量
2026-09-03
日本
是
印尼
是
智利
否
菲律賓
否
墨西哥
否
美國
否
秘魯
是
$28,158 交易量
日本
$11,281 交易量
是
印尼
$6,995 交易量
是
智利
$453 交易量
否
菲律賓
$3,199 交易量
否
墨西哥
$846 交易量
否
美國
$2,366 交易量
否
秘魯
$3,018 交易量
是
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between market creation and the end of the listed month (UTC), by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month (UTC). Otherwise, that market resolves "No".
A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country (or its offshore territory) in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe. Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
If an earthquake with an origin time within a market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after the specified month and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.
Revisions to the underlying data, such as country attribution and preferred magnitude, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or until the end of an applicable extension period. Revisions made after the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or after the end of an applicable extension period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this event is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake catalog (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/), and only data released by USGS will be considered, regardless of other sources. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it resumes; if it remains unavailable through the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market will resolve to "No."Multiple 6.0+ earthquakes struck during August 2026, led by a Mw 7.8 event on the Flores back-arc thrust fault offshore Indonesia on August 14–15 that produced MMI VIII shaking and a small tsunami, followed by a Mw 7.4 in Colombia’s Chocó region on August 10 and a Mw 6.7 in Peru. USGS and BMKG catalogs confirm at least a dozen additional 6.0–6.9 events, concentrated along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other active subduction zones, aligning with typical annual global rates of roughly 15–20 such quakes. Resolution hinges on official magnitude thresholds and epicenter locations in final USGS ComCat data, with no further updates expected after month-end. Traders weigh regional clustering against historical baselines for these tectonically active areas.
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between market creation and the end of the listed month (UTC), by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month (UTC). Otherwise, that market resolves "No".
A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country (or its offshore territory) in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe. Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
If an earthquake with an origin time within a market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after the specified month and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.
Revisions to the underlying data, such as country attribution and preferred magnitude, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or until the end of an applicable extension period. Revisions made after the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or after the end of an applicable extension period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this event is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake catalog (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/), and only data released by USGS will be considered, regardless of other sources. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it resumes; if it remains unavailable through the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country (or its offshore territory) in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe. Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
If an earthquake with an origin time within a market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after the specified month and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.
Revisions to the underlying data, such as country attribution and preferred magnitude, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or until the end of an applicable extension period. Revisions made after the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or after the end of an applicable extension period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this event is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake catalog (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/), and only data released by USGS will be considered, regardless of other sources. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it resumes; if it remains unavailable through the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market will resolve to "No."
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$28,158結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 6:03 PM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between market creation and the end of the listed month (UTC), by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month (UTC). Otherwise, that market resolves "No".
A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country (or its offshore territory) in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe. Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
If an earthquake with an origin time within a market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after the specified month and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.
Revisions to the underlying data, such as country attribution and preferred magnitude, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or until the end of an applicable extension period. Revisions made after the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or after the end of an applicable extension period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this event is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake catalog (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/), and only data released by USGS will be considered, regardless of other sources. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it resumes; if it remains unavailable through the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market will resolve to "No."Multiple 6.0+ earthquakes struck during August 2026, led by a Mw 7.8 event on the Flores back-arc thrust fault offshore Indonesia on August 14–15 that produced MMI VIII shaking and a small tsunami, followed by a Mw 7.4 in Colombia’s Chocó region on August 10 and a Mw 6.7 in Peru. USGS and BMKG catalogs confirm at least a dozen additional 6.0–6.9 events, concentrated along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other active subduction zones, aligning with typical annual global rates of roughly 15–20 such quakes. Resolution hinges on official magnitude thresholds and epicenter locations in final USGS ComCat data, with no further updates expected after month-end. Traders weigh regional clustering against historical baselines for these tectonically active areas.
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between market creation and the end of the listed month (UTC), by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month (UTC). Otherwise, that market resolves "No".
A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country (or its offshore territory) in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe. Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
If an earthquake with an origin time within a market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after the specified month and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.
Revisions to the underlying data, such as country attribution and preferred magnitude, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or until the end of an applicable extension period. Revisions made after the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or after the end of an applicable extension period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this event is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake catalog (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/), and only data released by USGS will be considered, regardless of other sources. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it resumes; if it remains unavailable through the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country (or its offshore territory) in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe. Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
If an earthquake with an origin time within a market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after the specified month and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.
Revisions to the underlying data, such as country attribution and preferred magnitude, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or until the end of an applicable extension period. Revisions made after the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or after the end of an applicable extension period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this event is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake catalog (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/), and only data released by USGS will be considered, regardless of other sources. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it resumes; if it remains unavailable through the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market will resolve to "No."
交易量
$28,158結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 6:03 PM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Multiple 6.0+ earthquakes struck during August 2026, led by a Mw 7.8 event on the Flores back-arc thrust fault offshore Indonesia on August 14–15 that produced MMI VIII shaking and a small tsunami, followed by a Mw 7.4 in Colombia’s Chocó region on August 10 and a Mw 6.7 in Peru. USGS and BMKG catalogs confirm at least a dozen additional 6.0–6.9 events, concentrated along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other active subduction zones, aligning with typical annual global rates of roughly 15–20 such quakes. Resolution hinges on official magnitude thresholds and epicenter locations in final USGS ComCat data, with no further updates expected after month-end. Traders weigh regional clustering against historical baselines for these tectonically active areas.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions