Alfonso Martínez Alcázar holds the highest implied probability in the fragmented Michoacán gubernatorial field ahead of the June 2027 election, reflecting early polling leads of 27-32% against competitors including Raúl Morón Orozco and Guillermo Valencia Reyes. Multiple parties continue positioning candidates from Morena, PAN, and smaller groups, with high undecided shares and no consolidated frontrunner sustaining tight probabilities across contenders. Recent surveys through July 2026 show persistent division among voters, while the open seat and ongoing coalition dynamics limit separation until primaries clarify nominees. Upcoming party selections and further polling could shift trader consensus by highlighting viable paths to a majority.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿方索·馬丁內斯·阿爾卡薩爾 90%
Carlos Herrera Tello 30%
吉列爾莫·巴倫西亞·雷耶斯 29%
拉烏爾·莫龍·奧羅斯科 26%

阿方索·馬丁內斯·阿爾卡薩爾
90%

Carlos Herrera Tello
30%

吉列爾莫·巴倫西亞·雷耶斯
29%

拉烏爾·莫龍·奧羅斯科
26%

馬爾科·科爾特斯·門多薩
23%

法比奧拉·阿拉尼斯·薩馬諾
22%

安娜·莉莉亞·吉倫·基羅斯
21%

Esteban González Nava
9%

Gabriela Molina Aguilar
7%

Ernesto Núñez Aguilar
7%

維克多·曼努埃爾·曼里奎斯
6%

Edna Martínez Nambo
6%

Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes
6%

吉爾曼·馬丁內斯·卡薩雷斯
6%

丹尼埃拉·德洛斯·桑托斯
6%

Gladyz Butanda Macías
5%

塞萊斯特·阿森西奧·奧爾特加
5%

內扎瓦爾科約特·阿拉爾孔·佩德拉薩
5%

格雷西婭·基羅茲
3%

卡洛斯·托雷斯·皮尼亞
2%

Adriana Hernández Íñiguez
2%

內札華科約特·阿蘭尼斯·盧納
-
阿方索·馬丁內斯·阿爾卡薩爾 90%
Carlos Herrera Tello 30%
吉列爾莫·巴倫西亞·雷耶斯 29%
拉烏爾·莫龍·奧羅斯科 26%

阿方索·馬丁內斯·阿爾卡薩爾
90%

Carlos Herrera Tello
30%

吉列爾莫·巴倫西亞·雷耶斯
29%

拉烏爾·莫龍·奧羅斯科
26%

馬爾科·科爾特斯·門多薩
23%

法比奧拉·阿拉尼斯·薩馬諾
22%

安娜·莉莉亞·吉倫·基羅斯
21%

Esteban González Nava
9%

Gabriela Molina Aguilar
7%

Ernesto Núñez Aguilar
7%

維克多·曼努埃爾·曼里奎斯
6%

Edna Martínez Nambo
6%

Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes
6%

吉爾曼·馬丁內斯·卡薩雷斯
6%

丹尼埃拉·德洛斯·桑托斯
6%

Gladyz Butanda Macías
5%

塞萊斯特·阿森西奧·奧爾特加
5%

內扎瓦爾科約特·阿拉爾孔·佩德拉薩
5%

格雷西婭·基羅茲
3%

卡洛斯·托雷斯·皮尼亞
2%

Adriana Hernández Íñiguez
2%

內札華科約特·阿蘭尼斯·盧納
-
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Alfonso Martínez Alcázar holds the highest implied probability in the fragmented Michoacán gubernatorial field ahead of the June 2027 election, reflecting early polling leads of 27-32% against competitors including Raúl Morón Orozco and Guillermo Valencia Reyes. Multiple parties continue positioning candidates from Morena, PAN, and smaller groups, with high undecided shares and no consolidated frontrunner sustaining tight probabilities across contenders. Recent surveys through July 2026 show persistent division among voters, while the open seat and ongoing coalition dynamics limit separation until primaries clarify nominees. Upcoming party selections and further polling could shift trader consensus by highlighting viable paths to a majority.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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