Recent Mexico inflation data, including the July 2026 year-over-year rate of 3.12% and core inflation at 3.95%, have reinforced the disinflation trajectory and positioned the 3.50%-3.99% bucket as the leading outcome with 44.5% implied probability. Banco de México's decision to hold the benchmark rate at 6.5% reflects expectations of continued moderation toward the 3% target by late 2027, supported by subdued demand pressures and the absence of second-round effects. Analyst forecasts for end-2026 headline inflation cluster between 3.8% and 4.1%, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring the 3.50%-4.49% ranges, while the closely contested 28.5% probability on 4.00%-4.49% highlights uncertainty around the pace of further declines amid potential volatility in energy and food components.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於3.50%至3.99% 44.5%
4.00%至4.49% 29%
4.50%到4.99% 9%
5.00%至5.49% 5.3%
$63,824 交易量
$63,824 交易量
2027-01-08
低於2.50%
1%
2.50%至2.99%
5%
3.00% 至 3.49%
5%
3.50%至3.99%
45%
4.00%至4.49%
29%
4.50%到4.99%
9%
5.00%至5.49%
5%
5.50% 以上
2%
3.50%至3.99% 44.5%
4.00%至4.49% 29%
4.50%到4.99% 9%
5.00%至5.49% 5.3%
$63,824 交易量
$63,824 交易量
2027-01-08
低於2.50%
$1,061 交易量
1%
2.50%至2.99%
$4,895 交易量
5%
3.00% 至 3.49%
$28,218 交易量
5%
3.50%至3.99%
$3,820 交易量
45%
4.00%至4.49%
$12,313 交易量
29%
4.50%到4.99%
$4,752 交易量
9%
5.00%至5.49%
$2,452 交易量
5%
5.50% 以上
$6,313 交易量
2%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent Mexico inflation data, including the July 2026 year-over-year rate of 3.12% and core inflation at 3.95%, have reinforced the disinflation trajectory and positioned the 3.50%-3.99% bucket as the leading outcome with 44.5% implied probability. Banco de México's decision to hold the benchmark rate at 6.5% reflects expectations of continued moderation toward the 3% target by late 2027, supported by subdued demand pressures and the absence of second-round effects. Analyst forecasts for end-2026 headline inflation cluster between 3.8% and 4.1%, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring the 3.50%-4.49% ranges, while the closely contested 28.5% probability on 4.00%-4.49% highlights uncertainty around the pace of further declines amid potential volatility in energy and food components.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
市場開放時間： Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
交易量
$63,824結束日期
2027-01-08市場開放時間
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent Mexico inflation data, including the July 2026 year-over-year rate of 3.12% and core inflation at 3.95%, have reinforced the disinflation trajectory and positioned the 3.50%-3.99% bucket as the leading outcome with 44.5% implied probability. Banco de México's decision to hold the benchmark rate at 6.5% reflects expectations of continued moderation toward the 3% target by late 2027, supported by subdued demand pressures and the absence of second-round effects. Analyst forecasts for end-2026 headline inflation cluster between 3.8% and 4.1%, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring the 3.50%-4.49% ranges, while the closely contested 28.5% probability on 4.00%-4.49% highlights uncertainty around the pace of further declines amid potential volatility in energy and food components.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
交易量
$63,824結束日期
2027-01-08市場開放時間
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Mexico inflation data, including the July 2026 year-over-year rate of 3.12% and core inflation at 3.95%, have reinforced the disinflation trajectory and positioned the 3.50%-3.99% bucket as the leading outcome with 44.5% implied probability. Banco de México's decision to hold the benchmark rate at 6.5% reflects expectations of continued moderation toward the 3% target by late 2027, supported by subdued demand pressures and the absence of second-round effects. Analyst forecasts for end-2026 headline inflation cluster between 3.8% and 4.1%, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring the 3.50%-4.49% ranges, while the closely contested 28.5% probability on 4.00%-4.49% highlights uncertainty around the pace of further declines amid potential volatility in energy and food components.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions