Recent inflation data and geopolitical energy price shocks have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% across the June, July, and September 2026 FOMC meetings. The July 29 decision to pause—despite a 9-3 vote split—reflected concerns over resurgent CPI tied to oil market volatility, while incoming Chair Kevin Warsh's emphasis on price stability has shifted the dot plot toward possible later hikes rather than cuts. With markets pricing limited easing until 2027 and September projections due on the 15-16, the pause-pause-pause path dominates as traders weigh durable inflation moderation against resilient labor conditions and upcoming economic releases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Pause–Pause–Pause 76%
Other 25%
Pause–Pause–Cut <1%
$738,653 交易量
$738,653 交易量
2026-09-16
Pause–Pause–Pause
76%
Pause–Pause–Cut
<1%
Other
25%
Pause–Pause–Pause 76%
Other 25%
Pause–Pause–Cut <1%
$738,653 交易量
$738,653 交易量
2026-09-16
Pause–Pause–Pause
$290,185 交易量
76%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$72,880 交易量
<1%
Other
$319,712 交易量
25%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent inflation data and geopolitical energy price shocks have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% across the June, July, and September 2026 FOMC meetings. The July 29 decision to pause—despite a 9-3 vote split—reflected concerns over resurgent CPI tied to oil market volatility, while incoming Chair Kevin Warsh's emphasis on price stability has shifted the dot plot toward possible later hikes rather than cuts. With markets pricing limited easing until 2027 and September projections due on the 15-16, the pause-pause-pause path dominates as traders weigh durable inflation moderation against resilient labor conditions and upcoming economic releases.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
市場開放時間： Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
交易量
$738,653結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent inflation data and geopolitical energy price shocks have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% across the June, July, and September 2026 FOMC meetings. The July 29 decision to pause—despite a 9-3 vote split—reflected concerns over resurgent CPI tied to oil market volatility, while incoming Chair Kevin Warsh's emphasis on price stability has shifted the dot plot toward possible later hikes rather than cuts. With markets pricing limited easing until 2027 and September projections due on the 15-16, the pause-pause-pause path dominates as traders weigh durable inflation moderation against resilient labor conditions and upcoming economic releases.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
交易量
$738,653結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data and geopolitical energy price shocks have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% across the June, July, and September 2026 FOMC meetings. The July 29 decision to pause—despite a 9-3 vote split—reflected concerns over resurgent CPI tied to oil market volatility, while incoming Chair Kevin Warsh's emphasis on price stability has shifted the dot plot toward possible later hikes rather than cuts. With markets pricing limited easing until 2027 and September projections due on the 15-16, the pause-pause-pause path dominates as traders weigh durable inflation moderation against resilient labor conditions and upcoming economic releases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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Frequently Asked Questions