The market assigns a 72.5% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, driven primarily by expectations of renewed policy cohesion after the April 28-29 session produced four dissents—the most since 1992—over the statement’s easing bias amid inflation readings above the 2% target. Recent labor-market stabilization and persistent price pressures have aligned voting members around holding the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range, while incoming Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish record is viewed as reinforcing consensus. May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases later this month remain the key near-term catalysts that could either solidify or reopen divisions ahead of the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 66%
1 18%
3 9%
2 8%
$17,896 交易量
$17,896 交易量
0
72%
1
18%
2
8%
3
9%
4+
2%
0 66%
1 18%
3 9%
2 8%
$17,896 交易量
$17,896 交易量
0
72%
1
18%
2
8%
3
9%
4+
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The market assigns a 72.5% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, driven primarily by expectations of renewed policy cohesion after the April 28-29 session produced four dissents—the most since 1992—over the statement’s easing bias amid inflation readings above the 2% target. Recent labor-market stabilization and persistent price pressures have aligned voting members around holding the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range, while incoming Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish record is viewed as reinforcing consensus. May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases later this month remain the key near-term catalysts that could either solidify or reopen divisions ahead of the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions