Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving near-unanimous trader consensus for his departure within the May 15–22 window, as Senate confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh on May 13 clears the path for an immediate transition. Powell confirmed on April 29 he would step aside at term's end while remaining on the Board of Governors until 2028, aligning with historical precedents where chairs vacate leadership upon successor approval amid White House pressure for policy shifts. This commanding positioning reflects resolved nomination hurdles and standard Fed handover protocols; rare challenges like transition delays, legal holds, or unforeseen health issues could push resolution later, though such scenarios appear improbable given official timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 99.0%
May 23–29 <1%
May 30–June 5 <1%
June 6–12 <1%
$122,802 交易量
$122,802 交易量
2026-07-03
Before May 15
<1%
May 15–22
99%
May 23–29
1%
May 30–June 5
1%
June 6–12
1%
June 13–19
<1%
June 20–26
<1%
June 27–July 3
<1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 99.0%
May 23–29 <1%
May 30–June 5 <1%
June 6–12 <1%
$122,802 交易量
$122,802 交易量
2026-07-03
Before May 15
$36,952 交易量
<1%
May 15–22
$32,044 交易量
99%
May 23–29
$6,325 交易量
1%
May 30–June 5
$5,938 交易量
1%
June 6–12
$7,136 交易量
1%
June 13–19
$6,713 交易量
<1%
June 20–26
$9,622 交易量
<1%
June 27–July 3
$3,216 交易量
<1%
After July 3
$14,856 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving near-unanimous trader consensus for his departure within the May 15–22 window, as Senate confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh on May 13 clears the path for an immediate transition. Powell confirmed on April 29 he would step aside at term's end while remaining on the Board of Governors until 2028, aligning with historical precedents where chairs vacate leadership upon successor approval amid White House pressure for policy shifts. This commanding positioning reflects resolved nomination hurdles and standard Fed handover protocols; rare challenges like transition delays, legal holds, or unforeseen health issues could push resolution later, though such scenarios appear improbable given official timelines.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
交易量
$122,802結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving near-unanimous trader consensus for his departure within the May 15–22 window, as Senate confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh on May 13 clears the path for an immediate transition. Powell confirmed on April 29 he would step aside at term's end while remaining on the Board of Governors until 2028, aligning with historical precedents where chairs vacate leadership upon successor approval amid White House pressure for policy shifts. This commanding positioning reflects resolved nomination hurdles and standard Fed handover protocols; rare challenges like transition delays, legal holds, or unforeseen health issues could push resolution later, though such scenarios appear improbable given official timelines.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$122,802結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving near-unanimous trader consensus for his departure within the May 15–22 window, as Senate confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh on May 13 clears the path for an immediate transition. Powell confirmed on April 29 he would step aside at term's end while remaining on the Board of Governors until 2028, aligning with historical precedents where chairs vacate leadership upon successor approval amid White House pressure for policy shifts. This commanding positioning reflects resolved nomination hurdles and standard Fed handover protocols; rare challenges like transition delays, legal holds, or unforeseen health issues could push resolution later, though such scenarios appear improbable given official timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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