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icon for 特朗普會試圖在他離開之前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局主席嗎?

特朗普會試圖在他離開之前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局主席嗎?

icon for 特朗普會試圖在他離開之前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局主席嗎?

特朗普會試圖在他離開之前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局主席嗎?

<1% 機率
Polymarket

$110,341 交易量

<1% 機率
Polymarket

$110,341 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump's prior threats to remove Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair centered on policy disputes over interest rates, yet Powell completed his term on May 15 without any firing attempt, enabling a Senate-confirmed transition to successor Kevin Warsh. This outcome reflects institutional norms protecting central bank independence, legal limits on presidential removal authority absent cause, and Powell's voluntary departure amid an ongoing but non-disruptive board transition. Traders assign near-certain odds to no attempt because scheduled events aligned without escalation. Rare late developments, such as abrupt health changes or unconfirmed legal reversals, remain the only plausible variables that could alter this positioning before full resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$110,341
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 10:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump's prior threats to remove Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair centered on policy disputes over interest rates, yet Powell completed his term on May 15 without any firing attempt, enabling a Senate-confirmed transition to successor Kevin Warsh. This outcome reflects institutional norms protecting central bank independence, legal limits on presidential removal authority absent cause, and Powell's voluntary departure amid an ongoing but non-disruptive board transition. Traders assign near-certain odds to no attempt because scheduled events aligned without escalation. Rare late developments, such as abrupt health changes or unconfirmed legal reversals, remain the only plausible variables that could alter this positioning before full resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$110,341
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 10:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普會試圖在他離開之前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局主席嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "特朗普會在離任前試圖解僱鮑威爾作為聯準會主席嗎?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普會試圖在他離開之前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局主席嗎?" has generated $110.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普會試圖在他離開之前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局主席嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "特朗普會試圖在他離開之前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局主席嗎?" is "特朗普會在離任前試圖解僱鮑威爾作為聯準會主席嗎?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "特朗普會試圖在他離開之前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局主席嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.