Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by the FOMC's April 29, 2026, decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid resilient economic conditions. Core CPI inflation moderated to 2.6% through March, while the unemployment rate held near 4.5%, with projections for only one scheduled cut possibly late in 2026 or into 2027, per dot plot updates. Absent acute shocks like financial instability or sharp labor market deterioration, markets see no need for unscheduled action, aligning with broker forecasts pushing cuts to mid-2027. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI data and the June FOMC meeting, which could reinforce the steady policy stance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$104,016 交易量
$104,016 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$104,016 交易量
$104,016 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by the FOMC's April 29, 2026, decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid resilient economic conditions. Core CPI inflation moderated to 2.6% through March, while the unemployment rate held near 4.5%, with projections for only one scheduled cut possibly late in 2026 or into 2027, per dot plot updates. Absent acute shocks like financial instability or sharp labor market deterioration, markets see no need for unscheduled action, aligning with broker forecasts pushing cuts to mid-2027. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI data and the June FOMC meeting, which could reinforce the steady policy stance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
市場開放時間： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$104,016結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by the FOMC's April 29, 2026, decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid resilient economic conditions. Core CPI inflation moderated to 2.6% through March, while the unemployment rate held near 4.5%, with projections for only one scheduled cut possibly late in 2026 or into 2027, per dot plot updates. Absent acute shocks like financial instability or sharp labor market deterioration, markets see no need for unscheduled action, aligning with broker forecasts pushing cuts to mid-2027. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI data and the June FOMC meeting, which could reinforce the steady policy stance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
交易量
$104,016結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by the FOMC's April 29, 2026, decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid resilient economic conditions. Core CPI inflation moderated to 2.6% through March, while the unemployment rate held near 4.5%, with projections for only one scheduled cut possibly late in 2026 or into 2027, per dot plot updates. Absent acute shocks like financial instability or sharp labor market deterioration, markets see no need for unscheduled action, aligning with broker forecasts pushing cuts to mid-2027. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI data and the June FOMC meeting, which could reinforce the steady policy stance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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