Resilient U.S. economic conditions underpin the 92% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. Steady GDP expansion, unemployment near 4%, and a federal funds target range holding at 3.50–3.75% after the July FOMC pause reflect a labor market at maximum employment alongside inflation readings that, while elevated near 3.5% year-over-year, show moderation without acute downside risks. Traders view the absence of financial-market stress or recession signals as eliminating the need for unscheduled easing outside the regular calendar. Potential challenges include a sharp deterioration in upcoming August CPI or September employment data, or an unforeseen geopolitical or liquidity shock capable of forcing an intermeeting move.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
8% 機率
$138,951 交易量
$138,951 交易量
2026-12-31
是
8% 機率
$138,951 交易量
$138,951 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Resilient U.S. economic conditions underpin the 92% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. Steady GDP expansion, unemployment near 4%, and a federal funds target range holding at 3.50–3.75% after the July FOMC pause reflect a labor market at maximum employment alongside inflation readings that, while elevated near 3.5% year-over-year, show moderation without acute downside risks. Traders view the absence of financial-market stress or recession signals as eliminating the need for unscheduled easing outside the regular calendar. Potential challenges include a sharp deterioration in upcoming August CPI or September employment data, or an unforeseen geopolitical or liquidity shock capable of forcing an intermeeting move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
市場開放時間： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$138,951結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Resilient U.S. economic conditions underpin the 92% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. Steady GDP expansion, unemployment near 4%, and a federal funds target range holding at 3.50–3.75% after the July FOMC pause reflect a labor market at maximum employment alongside inflation readings that, while elevated near 3.5% year-over-year, show moderation without acute downside risks. Traders view the absence of financial-market stress or recession signals as eliminating the need for unscheduled easing outside the regular calendar. Potential challenges include a sharp deterioration in upcoming August CPI or September employment data, or an unforeseen geopolitical or liquidity shock capable of forcing an intermeeting move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
交易量
$138,951結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resilient U.S. economic conditions underpin the 92% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. Steady GDP expansion, unemployment near 4%, and a federal funds target range holding at 3.50–3.75% after the July FOMC pause reflect a labor market at maximum employment alongside inflation readings that, while elevated near 3.5% year-over-year, show moderation without acute downside risks. Traders view the absence of financial-market stress or recession signals as eliminating the need for unscheduled easing outside the regular calendar. Potential challenges include a sharp deterioration in upcoming August CPI or September employment data, or an unforeseen geopolitical or liquidity shock capable of forcing an intermeeting move.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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