The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at the 3.50–3.75% target range through multiple 2026 meetings, amid inflation near 3.4–3.5% and solid economic expansion with stable unemployment, underpins the 94.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications and the June dot plot reflect trader consensus favoring policy restraint or potential hikes, with median paths showing no easing until at least mid-2027 under Chair Kevin Warsh's focus on price stability. This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with resilient labor data and supply-driven inflation pressures. A sharp labor-market deterioration, abrupt recession, or systemic financial shock could still prompt rapid accommodation despite the current hawkish tilt.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
6% 機率
$136,923 交易量
$136,923 交易量
2026-12-31
是
6% 機率
$136,923 交易量
$136,923 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at the 3.50–3.75% target range through multiple 2026 meetings, amid inflation near 3.4–3.5% and solid economic expansion with stable unemployment, underpins the 94.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications and the June dot plot reflect trader consensus favoring policy restraint or potential hikes, with median paths showing no easing until at least mid-2027 under Chair Kevin Warsh's focus on price stability. This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with resilient labor data and supply-driven inflation pressures. A sharp labor-market deterioration, abrupt recession, or systemic financial shock could still prompt rapid accommodation despite the current hawkish tilt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
市場開放時間： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$136,923結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at the 3.50–3.75% target range through multiple 2026 meetings, amid inflation near 3.4–3.5% and solid economic expansion with stable unemployment, underpins the 94.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications and the June dot plot reflect trader consensus favoring policy restraint or potential hikes, with median paths showing no easing until at least mid-2027 under Chair Kevin Warsh's focus on price stability. This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with resilient labor data and supply-driven inflation pressures. A sharp labor-market deterioration, abrupt recession, or systemic financial shock could still prompt rapid accommodation despite the current hawkish tilt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
交易量
$136,923結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at the 3.50–3.75% target range through multiple 2026 meetings, amid inflation near 3.4–3.5% and solid economic expansion with stable unemployment, underpins the 94.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications and the June dot plot reflect trader consensus favoring policy restraint or potential hikes, with median paths showing no easing until at least mid-2027 under Chair Kevin Warsh's focus on price stability. This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with resilient labor data and supply-driven inflation pressures. A sharp labor-market deterioration, abrupt recession, or systemic financial shock could still prompt rapid accommodation despite the current hawkish tilt.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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