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icon for 美聯儲在2027年之前廢除?

美聯儲在2027年之前廢除?

icon for 美聯儲在2027年之前廢除?

美聯儲在2027年之前廢除?

12月 31

12月 31

1% 機率
Polymarket
最新
1% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The entrenched institutional role of the Federal Reserve in U.S. monetary policy and financial regulation drives the overwhelming trader consensus against abolition before 2027. No legislation advancing repeal has progressed meaningfully in Congress, with introduced measures stalled in committee amid routine regulatory updates and capital framework proposals from the Fed and partner agencies. Achieving formal dissolution would require coordinated bicameral passage, presidential approval, and an extended implementation window incompatible with the compressed timeline. While isolated commentary and fringe proposals surface periodically, they lack the cross-party support or procedural path needed for near-term action. Realistic shifts remain possible only through unprecedented legislative realignment or acute systemic crisis, though neither shows signs of materializing within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$7,192
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The entrenched institutional role of the Federal Reserve in U.S. monetary policy and financial regulation drives the overwhelming trader consensus against abolition before 2027. No legislation advancing repeal has progressed meaningfully in Congress, with introduced measures stalled in committee amid routine regulatory updates and capital framework proposals from the Fed and partner agencies. Achieving formal dissolution would require coordinated bicameral passage, presidential approval, and an extended implementation window incompatible with the compressed timeline. While isolated commentary and fringe proposals surface periodically, they lack the cross-party support or procedural path needed for near-term action. Realistic shifts remain possible only through unprecedented legislative realignment or acute systemic crisis, though neither shows signs of materializing within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$7,192
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"美聯儲在2027年之前廢除?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 1% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 1¢, the market collectively assigns a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"美聯儲在2027年之前廢除?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 5, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "美聯儲在2027年之前廢除?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "美聯儲在2027年之前廢除?" is 1% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "美聯儲在2027年之前廢除?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.