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政治·愛潑斯坦

愛潑斯坦自殺筆記本由...發布？

icon for 愛潑斯坦自殺筆記本由...發布？
政治·愛潑斯坦

愛潑斯坦自殺筆記本由...發布？

$14,581,758 交易量

2026-05-31
Polymarket

$14,581,758 交易量

Polymarket

5月31日

$401,138 交易量

8%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any message or note written by Jeffrey Epstein, intended as a suicide note, is made publicly available by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying note must be credibly reported to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein and have been intended to be a suicide note, final message, or equivalent communication. A qualifying message or note may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A federal judge, U.S. District Judge Kenneth M. Karas, unsealed a purported Jeffrey Epstein suicide note on May 6, 2026, in the criminal case of former cellmate Nicholas Tartaglione, at The New York Times' request; the handwritten document, allegedly found hidden in a book after Epstein's July 2019 jail injury, contains farewell messages criticizing investigators. Trader consensus reflects heavy skepticism, pricing just 8% odds of qualification by May 31 under market rules requiring credible reporting of Epstein authorship and suicide intent, amid Epstein family forgery claims, inconclusive handwriting comparisons, and absent DOJ or FBI authentication. No additional court hearings are scheduled before the market's May 31 resolution deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any message or note written by Jeffrey Epstein, intended as a suicide note, is made publicly available by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying note must be credibly reported to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein and have been intended to be a suicide note, final message, or equivalent communication.

A qualifying message or note may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$14,581,758
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any message or note written by Jeffrey Epstein, intended as a suicide note, is made publicly available by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying note must be credibly reported to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein and have been intended to be a suicide note, final message, or equivalent communication. A qualifying message or note may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any message or note written by Jeffrey Epstein, intended as a suicide note, is made publicly available by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying note must be credibly reported to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein and have been intended to be a suicide note, final message, or equivalent communication. A qualifying message or note may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A federal judge, U.S. District Judge Kenneth M. Karas, unsealed a purported Jeffrey Epstein suicide note on May 6, 2026, in the criminal case of former cellmate Nicholas Tartaglione, at The New York Times' request; the handwritten document, allegedly found hidden in a book after Epstein's July 2019 jail injury, contains farewell messages criticizing investigators. Trader consensus reflects heavy skepticism, pricing just 8% odds of qualification by May 31 under market rules requiring credible reporting of Epstein authorship and suicide intent, amid Epstein family forgery claims, inconclusive handwriting comparisons, and absent DOJ or FBI authentication. No additional court hearings are scheduled before the market's May 31 resolution deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any message or note written by Jeffrey Epstein, intended as a suicide note, is made publicly available by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying note must be credibly reported to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein and have been intended to be a suicide note, final message, or equivalent communication.

A qualifying message or note may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$14,581,758
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any message or note written by Jeffrey Epstein, intended as a suicide note, is made publicly available by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying note must be credibly reported to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein and have been intended to be a suicide note, final message, or equivalent communication. A qualifying message or note may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"愛潑斯坦自殺筆記本由...發布？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "5月31日" at 8%, followed by "5月8日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "愛潑斯坦自殺筆記本由...發布？" has generated $14.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "愛潑斯坦自殺筆記本由...發布？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "愛潑斯坦自殺筆記本由...發布？" is "5月31日" at just 8%, with "5月8日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "愛潑斯坦自殺筆記本由...發布？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.