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政治·主要選舉

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
政治·主要選舉

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 63%

Robert Kenyon 36%

James Thomas Bryer 1.1%

Maria Deery <1%

Polymarket
最新

$18,021 交易量

Andy Burnham 63%

Robert Kenyon 36%

James Thomas Bryer 1.1%

Maria Deery <1%

Polymarket
最新

$18,021 交易量

Andy Burnham

$7,678 交易量

63%

Robert Kenyon

$6,558 交易量

36%

James Thomas Bryer

$297 交易量

1%

Maria Deery

$1,165 交易量

1%

John Skipworth

$1,034 交易量

1%

Simon Finkelstein

$1,289 交易量

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham's strong position in the Makerfield by-election market stems from the sitting Labour MP Josh Simons' resignation on 14 May 2026, explicitly to clear the path for the Greater Manchester mayor's return to Parliament. Labour's National Executive Committee approved Burnham's candidacy application the following day, with the selection meeting set for 21 May ahead of the 18 June poll. Traders assign him the highest implied probability given his established local profile and name recognition in the constituency. Robert Kenyon, positioned as the main challenger, draws support from Reform UK's targeted campaign in the area amid recent local electoral trends favoring the party. The remaining listed candidates hold marginal shares, reflecting limited visibility or party backing at this early stage of the contest.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
交易量
$18,021
市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham's strong position in the Makerfield by-election market stems from the sitting Labour MP Josh Simons' resignation on 14 May 2026, explicitly to clear the path for the Greater Manchester mayor's return to Parliament. Labour's National Executive Committee approved Burnham's candidacy application the following day, with the selection meeting set for 21 May ahead of the 18 June poll. Traders assign him the highest implied probability given his established local profile and name recognition in the constituency. Robert Kenyon, positioned as the main challenger, draws support from Reform UK's targeted campaign in the area amid recent local electoral trends favoring the party. The remaining listed candidates hold marginal shares, reflecting limited visibility or party backing at this early stage of the contest.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
交易量
$18,021
市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Makerfield by-election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andy Burnham" at 63%, followed by "Robert Kenyon" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Makerfield by-election Winner" has generated $18K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Makerfield by-election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Makerfield by-election Winner" is "Andy Burnham" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Robert Kenyon" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Makerfield by-election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.