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icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?

icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?

160-179 31%

200+ 27%

100-119 17%

120-139 15%

Polymarket
最新

160-179 31%

200+ 27%

100-119 17%

120-139 15%

Polymarket
最新

<20

$3,714 交易量

<1%

20-39

$726 交易量

<1%

40-59

$787 交易量

1%

60-79

$1,073 交易量

6%

80-99

$591 交易量

4%

100-119

$217 交易量

17%

120-139

$107 交易量

21%

140-159

$118 交易量

28%

160-179

$135 交易量

18%

180-199

$68 交易量

28%

200+

$94 交易量

27%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus reflects Donald Trump’s typical Truth Social activity levels during periods without immediate major scheduled events, with probabilities clustered tightly around 140–200 posts for the May 19–26 window. His established pattern of daily platform updates on policy positions, legislative developments, and public statements produces consistent mid-to-high weekly volumes, yet the near-even split among leading ranges underscores uncertainty over whether routine commentary or unexpected political catalysts will prevail. Upcoming factors such as congressional votes, campaign-related announcements, or media coverage could increase posting frequency and separate the outcomes, while quieter news cycles might keep totals nearer the lower end of the probable band. This distribution captures the variable influence of real-time events on engagement rates.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$7,629
結束日期
2026-05-26
市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus reflects Donald Trump’s typical Truth Social activity levels during periods without immediate major scheduled events, with probabilities clustered tightly around 140–200 posts for the May 19–26 window. His established pattern of daily platform updates on policy positions, legislative developments, and public statements produces consistent mid-to-high weekly volumes, yet the near-even split among leading ranges underscores uncertainty over whether routine commentary or unexpected political catalysts will prevail. Upcoming factors such as congressional votes, campaign-related announcements, or media coverage could increase posting frequency and separate the outcomes, while quieter news cycles might keep totals nearer the lower end of the probable band. This distribution captures the variable influence of real-time events on engagement rates.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$7,629
結束日期
2026-05-26
市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "140-159" at 28%, followed by "180-199" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?" is "140-159" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "180-199" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.