Trader consensus reflects Donald Trump’s typical Truth Social activity levels during periods without immediate major scheduled events, with probabilities clustered tightly around 140–200 posts for the May 19–26 window. His established pattern of daily platform updates on policy positions, legislative developments, and public statements produces consistent mid-to-high weekly volumes, yet the near-even split among leading ranges underscores uncertainty over whether routine commentary or unexpected political catalysts will prevail. Upcoming factors such as congressional votes, campaign-related announcements, or media coverage could increase posting frequency and separate the outcomes, while quieter news cycles might keep totals nearer the lower end of the probable band. This distribution captures the variable influence of real-time events on engagement rates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於160-179 31%
200+ 27%
100-119 17%
120-139 15%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
6%
80-99
4%
100-119
17%
120-139
21%
140-159
28%
160-179
18%
180-199
28%
200+
27%
160-179 31%
200+ 27%
100-119 17%
120-139 15%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
6%
80-99
4%
100-119
17%
120-139
21%
140-159
28%
160-179
18%
180-199
28%
200+
27%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trader consensus reflects Donald Trump’s typical Truth Social activity levels during periods without immediate major scheduled events, with probabilities clustered tightly around 140–200 posts for the May 19–26 window. His established pattern of daily platform updates on policy positions, legislative developments, and public statements produces consistent mid-to-high weekly volumes, yet the near-even split among leading ranges underscores uncertainty over whether routine commentary or unexpected political catalysts will prevail. Upcoming factors such as congressional votes, campaign-related announcements, or media coverage could increase posting frequency and separate the outcomes, while quieter news cycles might keep totals nearer the lower end of the probable band. This distribution captures the variable influence of real-time events on engagement rates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions