The April 2026 meeting in Havana between senior U.S. State Department officials and Cuban counterparts marked the first direct diplomatic engagement since 2016 and established a baseline for assessing whether additional high-level talks will occur by the market’s resolution date. U.S. negotiators outlined demands including the release of political prisoners and economic reforms, while Cuba emphasized lifting energy-related restrictions and maintained that the exchange remained professional without deadlines. President Trump’s May 12 statement that further discussions are planned signals continued bilateral pressure amid existing sanctions, creating a narrow window for follow-up contacts before external factors such as legislative calendars or regional summits intervene. Traders should monitor any official announcements on prisoner releases or new delegation visits, as these would directly influence the likelihood of another meeting materializing within the specified timeframe.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-06-30
May 31
14%
June 30
76%
$496 交易量
May 31
$367 交易量
14%
June 30
$129 交易量
76%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.The April 2026 meeting in Havana between senior U.S. State Department officials and Cuban counterparts marked the first direct diplomatic engagement since 2016 and established a baseline for assessing whether additional high-level talks will occur by the market’s resolution date. U.S. negotiators outlined demands including the release of political prisoners and economic reforms, while Cuba emphasized lifting energy-related restrictions and maintained that the exchange remained professional without deadlines. President Trump’s May 12 statement that further discussions are planned signals continued bilateral pressure amid existing sanctions, creating a narrow window for follow-up contacts before external factors such as legislative calendars or regional summits intervene. Traders should monitor any official announcements on prisoner releases or new delegation visits, as these would directly influence the likelihood of another meeting materializing within the specified timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
交易量
$496結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.The April 2026 meeting in Havana between senior U.S. State Department officials and Cuban counterparts marked the first direct diplomatic engagement since 2016 and established a baseline for assessing whether additional high-level talks will occur by the market’s resolution date. U.S. negotiators outlined demands including the release of political prisoners and economic reforms, while Cuba emphasized lifting energy-related restrictions and maintained that the exchange remained professional without deadlines. President Trump’s May 12 statement that further discussions are planned signals continued bilateral pressure amid existing sanctions, creating a narrow window for follow-up contacts before external factors such as legislative calendars or regional summits intervene. Traders should monitor any official announcements on prisoner releases or new delegation visits, as these would directly influence the likelihood of another meeting materializing within the specified timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$496結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The April 2026 meeting in Havana between senior U.S. State Department officials and Cuban counterparts marked the first direct diplomatic engagement since 2016 and established a baseline for assessing whether additional high-level talks will occur by the market’s resolution date. U.S. negotiators outlined demands including the release of political prisoners and economic reforms, while Cuba emphasized lifting energy-related restrictions and maintained that the exchange remained professional without deadlines. President Trump’s May 12 statement that further discussions are planned signals continued bilateral pressure amid existing sanctions, creating a narrow window for follow-up contacts before external factors such as legislative calendars or regional summits intervene. Traders should monitor any official announcements on prisoner releases or new delegation visits, as these would directly influence the likelihood of another meeting materializing within the specified timeframe.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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