Stalled indirect US-Iran negotiations over disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have elevated trader consensus to a 35% implied probability for President Trump announcing a restart of Project Freedom by May 31, the short-lived US military operation launched May 4 to escort commercial ships through Iranian-restricted waters before pausing two days later for diplomatic progress. Saudi Arabia and Kuwait lifted US base and airspace access restrictions on May 7, resolving key logistical barriers amid Gulf allies' fears of escalation. Trump warned May 11 of potentially expanding to "Project Freedom Plus" with strikes on Iranian assets if ceasefire talks collapse, as Iran rejects proposals and restores missile sites. Outcomes hinge on Trump's China summit concluding this week, with national security reviews to follow potentially triggering a qualifying announcement for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
$97,889 交易量
2026-05-31
May 15
4%
May 31
40%
$97,889 交易量
May 15
$36,887 交易量
4%
May 31
$61,001 交易量
40%
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stalled indirect US-Iran negotiations over disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have elevated trader consensus to a 35% implied probability for President Trump announcing a restart of Project Freedom by May 31, the short-lived US military operation launched May 4 to escort commercial ships through Iranian-restricted waters before pausing two days later for diplomatic progress. Saudi Arabia and Kuwait lifted US base and airspace access restrictions on May 7, resolving key logistical barriers amid Gulf allies' fears of escalation. Trump warned May 11 of potentially expanding to "Project Freedom Plus" with strikes on Iranian assets if ceasefire talks collapse, as Iran rejects proposals and restores missile sites. Outcomes hinge on Trump's China summit concluding this week, with national security reviews to follow potentially triggering a qualifying announcement for market resolution.
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 12, 2026, 11:27 PM ET
交易量
$97,889結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 11:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stalled indirect US-Iran negotiations over disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have elevated trader consensus to a 35% implied probability for President Trump announcing a restart of Project Freedom by May 31, the short-lived US military operation launched May 4 to escort commercial ships through Iranian-restricted waters before pausing two days later for diplomatic progress. Saudi Arabia and Kuwait lifted US base and airspace access restrictions on May 7, resolving key logistical barriers amid Gulf allies' fears of escalation. Trump warned May 11 of potentially expanding to "Project Freedom Plus" with strikes on Iranian assets if ceasefire talks collapse, as Iran rejects proposals and restores missile sites. Outcomes hinge on Trump's China summit concluding this week, with national security reviews to follow potentially triggering a qualifying announcement for market resolution.
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$97,889結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 11:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stalled indirect US-Iran negotiations over disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have elevated trader consensus to a 35% implied probability for President Trump announcing a restart of Project Freedom by May 31, the short-lived US military operation launched May 4 to escort commercial ships through Iranian-restricted waters before pausing two days later for diplomatic progress. Saudi Arabia and Kuwait lifted US base and airspace access restrictions on May 7, resolving key logistical barriers amid Gulf allies' fears of escalation. Trump warned May 11 of potentially expanding to "Project Freedom Plus" with strikes on Iranian assets if ceasefire talks collapse, as Iran rejects proposals and restores missile sites. Outcomes hinge on Trump's China summit concluding this week, with national security reviews to follow potentially triggering a qualifying announcement for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions