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icon for 特朗普在5月31日前親吻?

特朗普在5月31日前親吻?

icon for 特朗普在5月31日前親吻?

特朗普在5月31日前親吻?

18% 機率
Polymarket
最新

18% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and any other person kiss by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Reputable video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. AI-generated, manipulated, or other non-authentic evidence will not qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. The resolution source will be reputable photographic/video footage of a kiss.Trump's recent state visit to China concluded without any public display of affection, reinforcing trader views that a confirmed on-camera kiss by May 31 remains unlikely. With no major summits, family milestones, or high-profile appearances scheduled in the remaining two weeks, the market prices "No" at 82.5% based on established diplomatic norms favoring handshakes and formal greetings over personal gestures. Historical footage of Trump's interactions with world leaders shows consistent restraint in public settings, and unscripted moments like this rarely surface without advance planning or leaks. Traders are watching for any surprise announcements or viral clips, but current momentum points to a continuation of standard protocol through the resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and any other person kiss by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Reputable video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. AI-generated, manipulated, or other non-authentic evidence will not qualify.

A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.

The resolution source will be reputable photographic/video footage of a kiss.
交易量
$2,685
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and any other person kiss by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Reputable video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. AI-generated, manipulated, or other non-authentic evidence will not qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. The resolution source will be reputable photographic/video footage of a kiss.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and any other person kiss by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Reputable video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. AI-generated, manipulated, or other non-authentic evidence will not qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. The resolution source will be reputable photographic/video footage of a kiss.Trump's recent state visit to China concluded without any public display of affection, reinforcing trader views that a confirmed on-camera kiss by May 31 remains unlikely. With no major summits, family milestones, or high-profile appearances scheduled in the remaining two weeks, the market prices "No" at 82.5% based on established diplomatic norms favoring handshakes and formal greetings over personal gestures. Historical footage of Trump's interactions with world leaders shows consistent restraint in public settings, and unscripted moments like this rarely surface without advance planning or leaks. Traders are watching for any surprise announcements or viral clips, but current momentum points to a continuation of standard protocol through the resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and any other person kiss by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Reputable video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. AI-generated, manipulated, or other non-authentic evidence will not qualify.

A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.

The resolution source will be reputable photographic/video footage of a kiss.
交易量
$2,685
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and any other person kiss by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Reputable video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. AI-generated, manipulated, or other non-authentic evidence will not qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. The resolution source will be reputable photographic/video footage of a kiss.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普在5月31日前親吻?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "特朗普在5月31日前接吻?" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"特朗普在5月31日前親吻?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 15, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "特朗普在5月31日前親吻?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普在5月31日前親吻?" is "特朗普在5月31日前接吻?" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普在5月31日前親吻?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.