Elon Musk’s prolific posting habits on X continue to anchor trader expectations for the three-day window, with the 40-64 tweet range emerging as the clear consensus. Musk has maintained elevated activity levels in recent weeks, frequently engaging on free-speech issues, cultural debates, and platform developments through a mix of original posts, replies, and reposts. This pace aligns with historical patterns during periods without major product launches or regulatory hearings, making the mid-range band the market’s favored outcome. Lower volumes below 40 or spikes above 90 remain possible if breaking news draws him into extended threads, but current momentum favors steady rather than outlier engagement through May 20.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於40-64 50%
65-89 28%
少於40條 14%
90-114 7%
最新
$28,248 交易量
最新
$28,248 交易量
2026-05-20
少於40條
14%
40-64
50%
65-89
28%
90-114
7%
115-139
3%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 28%
少於40條 14%
90-114 7%
最新
$28,248 交易量
最新
$28,248 交易量
2026-05-20
少於40條
$826 交易量
14%
40-64
$2,178 交易量
50%
65-89
$1,524 交易量
28%
90-114
$4,446 交易量
7%
115-139
$2,359 交易量
3%
140-164
$2,022 交易量
<1%
165-189
$1,846 交易量
<1%
190-214
$2,685 交易量
<1%
215-239
$5,835 交易量
<1%
240+
$5,272 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s prolific posting habits on X continue to anchor trader expectations for the three-day window, with the 40-64 tweet range emerging as the clear consensus. Musk has maintained elevated activity levels in recent weeks, frequently engaging on free-speech issues, cultural debates, and platform developments through a mix of original posts, replies, and reposts. This pace aligns with historical patterns during periods without major product launches or regulatory hearings, making the mid-range band the market’s favored outcome. Lower volumes below 40 or spikes above 90 remain possible if breaking news draws him into extended threads, but current momentum favors steady rather than outlier engagement through May 20.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
交易量
$28,248結束日期
2026-05-20市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s prolific posting habits on X continue to anchor trader expectations for the three-day window, with the 40-64 tweet range emerging as the clear consensus. Musk has maintained elevated activity levels in recent weeks, frequently engaging on free-speech issues, cultural debates, and platform developments through a mix of original posts, replies, and reposts. This pace aligns with historical patterns during periods without major product launches or regulatory hearings, making the mid-range band the market’s favored outcome. Lower volumes below 40 or spikes above 90 remain possible if breaking news draws him into extended threads, but current momentum favors steady rather than outlier engagement through May 20.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$28,248結束日期
2026-05-20市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETElon Musk’s prolific posting habits on X continue to anchor trader expectations for the three-day window, with the 40-64 tweet range emerging as the clear consensus. Musk has maintained elevated activity levels in recent weeks, frequently engaging on free-speech issues, cultural debates, and platform developments through a mix of original posts, replies, and reposts. This pace aligns with historical patterns during periods without major product launches or regulatory hearings, making the mid-range band the market’s favored outcome. Lower volumes below 40 or spikes above 90 remain possible if breaking news draws him into extended threads, but current momentum favors steady rather than outlier engagement through May 20.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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