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icon for 2026年票房最高的電影？

2026年票房最高的電影？

icon for 2026年票房最高的電影？

2026年票房最高的電影？

12月 31

12月 31

蜘蛛人：全新一天 59%

復仇者聯盟：末日審判 18%

超級瑪利歐銀河電影 7.6%

玩具總動員5 3.5%

Polymarket

$7,105,730 交易量

蜘蛛人：全新一天 59%

復仇者聯盟：末日審判 18%

超級瑪利歐銀河電影 7.6%

玩具總動員5 3.5%

Polymarket

$7,105,730 交易量

蜘蛛人：全新一天

$245,958 交易量

59%

復仇者聯盟：末日審判

$309,801 交易量

18%

超級瑪利歐銀河電影

$234,382 交易量

8%

玩具總動員5

$220,794 交易量

4%

奧德賽

$415,028 交易量

2%

星際大戰：曼達洛人與格羅古

$215,529 交易量

1%

沙丘：彌賽亞

$355,376 交易量

1%

麥可

$795,743 交易量

1%

魔法壞女巫：永誌難忘

$1,010,930 交易量

1%

呼嘯山莊

$1,123,191 交易量

1%

野蠻遊戲3

$213,826 交易量

1%

驚聲尖叫7

$1,176,844 交易量

<1%

飢餓遊戲：收割初曦

$316,229 交易量

<1%

救援任務：海爾瑪麗號

$472,835 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads the market with 59% implied probability due to its proven franchise strength and strategic July 31, 2026 theatrical release, which positions it for peak summer box office performance. Tom Holland's return as Spider-Man builds on No Way Home's $1.9 billion success, with early tracking projecting a $150-200 million domestic opening weekend and strong international legs. Avengers: Doomsday at 17.5% remains the primary challenger with robust long-lead tracking, though its later-year slot faces greater competition. Animated entries like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Toy Story 5 offer reliable mid-tier potential but lack the event-level hype needed to overtake live-action tentpoles. Recent industry forecasts emphasize Spider-Man's consistent $1 billion-plus track record and audience loyalty as the decisive factors shaping trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$7,105,730
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads the market with 59% implied probability due to its proven franchise strength and strategic July 31, 2026 theatrical release, which positions it for peak summer box office performance. Tom Holland's return as Spider-Man builds on No Way Home's $1.9 billion success, with early tracking projecting a $150-200 million domestic opening weekend and strong international legs. Avengers: Doomsday at 17.5% remains the primary challenger with robust long-lead tracking, though its later-year slot faces greater competition. Animated entries like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Toy Story 5 offer reliable mid-tier potential but lack the event-level hype needed to overtake live-action tentpoles. Recent industry forecasts emphasize Spider-Man's consistent $1 billion-plus track record and audience loyalty as the decisive factors shaping trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$7,105,730
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年票房最高的電影？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "蜘蛛人：全新一天" at 59%, followed by "復仇者聯盟：末日審判" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年票房最高的電影？" has generated $7.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年票房最高的電影？," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年票房最高的電影？" is "蜘蛛人：全新一天" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "復仇者聯盟：末日審判" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年票房最高的電影？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.