The market for the third-biggest opening weekend of 2026 stays tightly bunched because multiple high-profile franchises are competing for prime summer and holiday slots with comparable built-in audiences. Toy Story 5’s modest 52% edge reflects Pixar’s proven track record for family-driven debuts and Disney’s marketing muscle, while Marvel’s Avengers: Doomsday, the new Spider-Man title, Dune: Messiah, The Hunger Games prequel, The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, and Nolan’s The Odyssey sit within a point or two on the strength of their respective IP legacies and expected wide releases. Key swing factors include final release-date positioning, early presale velocity, trailer reception, and any direct calendar clashes that could split audience dollars. Traders are watching for the first concrete tracking numbers and confirmed playdates in the coming months, as small shifts in those metrics can quickly reorder the field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於哪部電影在2026年的首映週末排名第三？
哪部電影在2026年的首映週末排名第三？
Toy Story 5 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 11%
Dune: Messiah 8%
The Odyssey 5%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
Toy Story 5
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
11%
Dune: Messiah
8%
The Odyssey
5%
Avengers: Doomsday
5%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
4%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
2%
Toy Story 5 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 11%
Dune: Messiah 8%
The Odyssey 5%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
Toy Story 5
$0 交易量
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$0 交易量
11%
Dune: Messiah
$0 交易量
8%
The Odyssey
$31 交易量
5%
Avengers: Doomsday
$41 交易量
5%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$70 交易量
4%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The market for the third-biggest opening weekend of 2026 stays tightly bunched because multiple high-profile franchises are competing for prime summer and holiday slots with comparable built-in audiences. Toy Story 5’s modest 52% edge reflects Pixar’s proven track record for family-driven debuts and Disney’s marketing muscle, while Marvel’s Avengers: Doomsday, the new Spider-Man title, Dune: Messiah, The Hunger Games prequel, The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, and Nolan’s The Odyssey sit within a point or two on the strength of their respective IP legacies and expected wide releases. Key swing factors include final release-date positioning, early presale velocity, trailer reception, and any direct calendar clashes that could split audience dollars. Traders are watching for the first concrete tracking numbers and confirmed playdates in the coming months, as small shifts in those metrics can quickly reorder the field.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ET
交易量
$142結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The market for the third-biggest opening weekend of 2026 stays tightly bunched because multiple high-profile franchises are competing for prime summer and holiday slots with comparable built-in audiences. Toy Story 5’s modest 52% edge reflects Pixar’s proven track record for family-driven debuts and Disney’s marketing muscle, while Marvel’s Avengers: Doomsday, the new Spider-Man title, Dune: Messiah, The Hunger Games prequel, The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, and Nolan’s The Odyssey sit within a point or two on the strength of their respective IP legacies and expected wide releases. Key swing factors include final release-date positioning, early presale velocity, trailer reception, and any direct calendar clashes that could split audience dollars. Traders are watching for the first concrete tracking numbers and confirmed playdates in the coming months, as small shifts in those metrics can quickly reorder the field.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$142結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market for the third-biggest opening weekend of 2026 stays tightly bunched because multiple high-profile franchises are competing for prime summer and holiday slots with comparable built-in audiences. Toy Story 5’s modest 52% edge reflects Pixar’s proven track record for family-driven debuts and Disney’s marketing muscle, while Marvel’s Avengers: Doomsday, the new Spider-Man title, Dune: Messiah, The Hunger Games prequel, The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, and Nolan’s The Odyssey sit within a point or two on the strength of their respective IP legacies and expected wide releases. Key swing factors include final release-date positioning, early presale velocity, trailer reception, and any direct calendar clashes that could split audience dollars. Traders are watching for the first concrete tracking numbers and confirmed playdates in the coming months, as small shifts in those metrics can quickly reorder the field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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