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icon for 2027年奧斯卡:最佳男主角提名

2027年奧斯卡:最佳男主角提名

icon for 2027年奧斯卡:最佳男主角提名

2027年奧斯卡:最佳男主角提名

$44,849 交易量

2027-01-20
Polymarket

$44,849 交易量

Polymarket

Matt Damon

$3,484 交易量

91%

John Malkovich

$395 交易量

88%

Andrew Scott

$8,675 交易量

83%

羅伯·帕丁森

$905 交易量

56%

Tom Cruise

$6,614 交易量

44%

Ryan Gosling

$5,739 交易量

37%

Timothée Chalamet

$6,167 交易量

30%

Sebastian Stan

$1,679 交易量

27%

John Turturro

$1,692 交易量

24%

Pedro Pascal

$1,085 交易量

20%

Adam Driver

$113 交易量

14%

Jaafar Jackson

$535 交易量

12%

Robert Aramayo

$476 交易量

10%

Jeremy Strong

$3,793 交易量

10%

Brad Pitt

$1,811 交易量

7%

Sam Rockwell

$960 交易量

6%

Javier Bardem

$499 交易量

6%

Josh O'Connor

$225 交易量

5%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Best Actor nomination race remains wide open in September 2026, fueled by a cluster of high-profile star vehicles and overdue career narratives rather than a single dominant performance. Matt Damon’s physically demanding turn as Odysseus in Christopher Nolan’s summer blockbuster *The Odyssey* has anchored early trader attention, though initial buzz has softened post-release. Tom Cruise’s work in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s *Digger* and John Malkovich’s acclaimed Venice-winning role in Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine* draw strong support for first-Oscar storylines, while Andrew Scott’s festival momentum in *Elsinore* adds a rising contender. Key swing factors include Toronto International Film Festival audience and critic reactions, fall awards precursors, and guild nominations that historically shape Academy shortlists. With nominations voting set for mid-January 2027, late reviews and box-office context for these prestige titles will likely reshape the field.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$44,849
結束日期
2027-01-21
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Best Actor nomination race remains wide open in September 2026, fueled by a cluster of high-profile star vehicles and overdue career narratives rather than a single dominant performance. Matt Damon’s physically demanding turn as Odysseus in Christopher Nolan’s summer blockbuster *The Odyssey* has anchored early trader attention, though initial buzz has softened post-release. Tom Cruise’s work in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s *Digger* and John Malkovich’s acclaimed Venice-winning role in Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine* draw strong support for first-Oscar storylines, while Andrew Scott’s festival momentum in *Elsinore* adds a rising contender. Key swing factors include Toronto International Film Festival audience and critic reactions, fall awards precursors, and guild nominations that historically shape Academy shortlists. With nominations voting set for mid-January 2027, late reviews and box-office context for these prestige titles will likely reshape the field.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$44,849
結束日期
2027-01-21
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年奧斯卡:最佳男主角提名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matt Damon" at 91%, followed by "John Malkovich" at 88%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027年奧斯卡:最佳男主角提名" has generated $44.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027年奧斯卡:最佳男主角提名," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年奧斯卡:最佳男主角提名" is "Matt Damon" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Malkovich" at 88%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年奧斯卡:最佳男主角提名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.