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icon for 2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名

2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名

icon for 2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名

2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名

最新
2027-01-21
Polymarket

$733 交易量

Polymarket

John Malkovich

$31 交易量

70%

Tom Cruise

$373 交易量

73%

Ryan Gosling

$83 交易量

68%

John Turturro

$0 交易量

53%

Robert Aramayo

$0 交易量

51%

Adam Driver

$0 交易量

50%

Matt Damon

$60 交易量

59%

Jaafar Jackson

$0 交易量

49%

Timothée Chalamet

$124 交易量

48%

Josh O'Connor

$0 交易量

48%

Sam Rockwell

$0 交易量

48%

Andrew Scott

$0 交易量

47%

Javier Bardem

$40 交易量

47%

Pedro Pascal

$0 交易量

46%

Sebastian Stan

$0 交易量

45%

Jeremy Strong

$0 交易量

43%

Brad Pitt

$21 交易量

28%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early frontrunner momentum for Oscars 2027 Best Actor nominations centers on Tom Cruise in Warner Bros.’ “Digger” and Ryan Gosling in Amazon MGM’s “Project Hail Mary,” driven by their high-profile directors, timely festival screenings at Cannes, and established industry narratives around star-led vehicles. Sebastian Stan’s turn in NEON’s “Fjord” and John Malkovich in “Wild Horse Nine” also appear frequently in early trackers, reflecting guild and critics’ circle interest in character-driven performances. Traders should monitor fall 2026 releases, precursor awards like the Golden Globes and SAG nominations, and any late reviews or box office data that could shift voter sentiment before the January 2027 nomination deadline. Historical patterns show that strong precursor wins and targeted campaigns often solidify the five nominees well ahead of the ceremony.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$733
結束日期
2027-01-21
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early frontrunner momentum for Oscars 2027 Best Actor nominations centers on Tom Cruise in Warner Bros.’ “Digger” and Ryan Gosling in Amazon MGM’s “Project Hail Mary,” driven by their high-profile directors, timely festival screenings at Cannes, and established industry narratives around star-led vehicles. Sebastian Stan’s turn in NEON’s “Fjord” and John Malkovich in “Wild Horse Nine” also appear frequently in early trackers, reflecting guild and critics’ circle interest in character-driven performances. Traders should monitor fall 2026 releases, precursor awards like the Golden Globes and SAG nominations, and any late reviews or box office data that could shift voter sentiment before the January 2027 nomination deadline. Historical patterns show that strong precursor wins and targeted campaigns often solidify the five nominees well ahead of the ceremony.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$733
結束日期
2027-01-21
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Cruise" at 73%, followed by "John Malkovich" at 70%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名 " is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名 ," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名 " is "Tom Cruise" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Malkovich" at 70%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.