The 2027 Oscars adapted screenplay race remains wide open in its early stages, with trader sentiment reflecting a tight contest among prestige literary and sci-fi adaptations. Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey leads market-implied odds at 45% on the strength of its source material and the director’s track record, while Project Hail Mary sits at 35.5% buoyed by strong critical reception and box-office performance for the Andy Weir novel. Other titles like The Invite and Dune: Part Three trail as voters weigh guild precursors, critical consensus, and campaign momentum closer to the ceremony. Historical patterns favor films with established literary pedigrees and director cachet, yet the field’s fluidity underscores how new reviews, festival debuts, and late-year releases could shift consensus before nominations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Wildwood 38%
Saturn Return 38%
Clarissa 36%
The Whisper Man 34%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
Wildwood
38%
Saturn Return
38%
Clarissa
36%
The Whisper Man
34%
Project Hail Mary
33%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
30%
All of a Sudden
30%
Cry to Heaven
30%
Ink
30%
The Social Reckoning
29%
The Invite
26%
The Black Ball
26%
Dune: Part Three
18%
Toy Story 5
18%
The Odyssey
50%
Wildwood 38%
Saturn Return 38%
Clarissa 36%
The Whisper Man 34%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
Wildwood
$0 交易量
38%
Saturn Return
$0 交易量
38%
Clarissa
$0 交易量
36%
The Whisper Man
$0 交易量
34%
Project Hail Mary
$0 交易量
33%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$0 交易量
30%
All of a Sudden
$0 交易量
30%
Cry to Heaven
$0 交易量
30%
Ink
$0 交易量
30%
The Social Reckoning
$0 交易量
29%
The Invite
$0 交易量
26%
The Black Ball
$0 交易量
26%
Dune: Part Three
$0 交易量
18%
Toy Story 5
$100 交易量
18%
The Odyssey
$1 交易量
50%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Oscars adapted screenplay race remains wide open in its early stages, with trader sentiment reflecting a tight contest among prestige literary and sci-fi adaptations. Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey leads market-implied odds at 45% on the strength of its source material and the director’s track record, while Project Hail Mary sits at 35.5% buoyed by strong critical reception and box-office performance for the Andy Weir novel. Other titles like The Invite and Dune: Part Three trail as voters weigh guild precursors, critical consensus, and campaign momentum closer to the ceremony. Historical patterns favor films with established literary pedigrees and director cachet, yet the field’s fluidity underscores how new reviews, festival debuts, and late-year releases could shift consensus before nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
交易量
$101結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Oscars adapted screenplay race remains wide open in its early stages, with trader sentiment reflecting a tight contest among prestige literary and sci-fi adaptations. Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey leads market-implied odds at 45% on the strength of its source material and the director’s track record, while Project Hail Mary sits at 35.5% buoyed by strong critical reception and box-office performance for the Andy Weir novel. Other titles like The Invite and Dune: Part Three trail as voters weigh guild precursors, critical consensus, and campaign momentum closer to the ceremony. Historical patterns favor films with established literary pedigrees and director cachet, yet the field’s fluidity underscores how new reviews, festival debuts, and late-year releases could shift consensus before nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$101結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Oscars adapted screenplay race remains wide open in its early stages, with trader sentiment reflecting a tight contest among prestige literary and sci-fi adaptations. Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey leads market-implied odds at 45% on the strength of its source material and the director’s track record, while Project Hail Mary sits at 35.5% buoyed by strong critical reception and box-office performance for the Andy Weir novel. Other titles like The Invite and Dune: Part Three trail as voters weigh guild precursors, critical consensus, and campaign momentum closer to the ceremony. Historical patterns favor films with established literary pedigrees and director cachet, yet the field’s fluidity underscores how new reviews, festival debuts, and late-year releases could shift consensus before nominations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions