With the 2027 Best Documentary Feature race still in its earliest phase, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field where no film exceeds low-double-digit implied probability. Once Upon a Time in Harlem leads on the strength of its Sundance premiere, Neon backing, and unique 1972 Harlem Renaissance footage completed by director William Greaves’ son, while American Doctor follows closely after festival audience awards and its August theatrical rollout focused on physicians in Gaza. Additional momentum around Musk, Nuisance Bear, and One in a Million stems from director pedigrees and early critical notice, yet historical patterns show late-year releases and guild attention often reshape the category. Expect shifts once more 2026 titles screen and precursor season begins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 18%
American Doctor 15%
Nuisance Bear 10%
Musk 9%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
18%
American Doctor
15%
Nuisance Bear
10%
Musk
9%
One in a Million
8%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
6%
Tutu
6%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 18%
American Doctor 15%
Nuisance Bear 10%
Musk 9%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
$5 交易量
18%
American Doctor
$5 交易量
15%
Nuisance Bear
$5 交易量
10%
Musk
$0 交易量
9%
One in a Million
$5 交易量
8%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
$5 交易量
6%
Tutu
$5 交易量
6%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Best Documentary Feature race still in its earliest phase, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field where no film exceeds low-double-digit implied probability. Once Upon a Time in Harlem leads on the strength of its Sundance premiere, Neon backing, and unique 1972 Harlem Renaissance footage completed by director William Greaves’ son, while American Doctor follows closely after festival audience awards and its August theatrical rollout focused on physicians in Gaza. Additional momentum around Musk, Nuisance Bear, and One in a Million stems from director pedigrees and early critical notice, yet historical patterns show late-year releases and guild attention often reshape the category. Expect shifts once more 2026 titles screen and precursor season begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
交易量
$30結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Best Documentary Feature race still in its earliest phase, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field where no film exceeds low-double-digit implied probability. Once Upon a Time in Harlem leads on the strength of its Sundance premiere, Neon backing, and unique 1972 Harlem Renaissance footage completed by director William Greaves’ son, while American Doctor follows closely after festival audience awards and its August theatrical rollout focused on physicians in Gaza. Additional momentum around Musk, Nuisance Bear, and One in a Million stems from director pedigrees and early critical notice, yet historical patterns show late-year releases and guild attention often reshape the category. Expect shifts once more 2026 titles screen and precursor season begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$30結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Best Documentary Feature race still in its earliest phase, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field where no film exceeds low-double-digit implied probability. Once Upon a Time in Harlem leads on the strength of its Sundance premiere, Neon backing, and unique 1972 Harlem Renaissance footage completed by director William Greaves’ son, while American Doctor follows closely after festival audience awards and its August theatrical rollout focused on physicians in Gaza. Additional momentum around Musk, Nuisance Bear, and One in a Million stems from director pedigrees and early critical notice, yet historical patterns show late-year releases and guild attention often reshape the category. Expect shifts once more 2026 titles screen and precursor season begins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions