Mina the Hollower leads The Game Awards Best Independent Game market at 38% implied probability thanks to its May 2026 release and strong critical consensus, including near-universal acclaim and scores in the low 90s from outlets like IGN. Yacht Club Games’ Metroidvania-style follow-up to Shovel Knight has earned praise for tight design, atmospheric storytelling, and retro-modern fusion, positioning it as the early frontrunner among 2026 indies. However, Big Walk has recently gained ground in industry discussions, highlighting how player resonance and broader buzz can shift momentum beyond pure review aggregates. With the December ceremony months away and additional high-profile releases still incoming, the race remains fluid as guild nods, streaming metrics, and late-year critical darlings emerge to challenge the current leader.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於The Game Awards: Best Independent Game
Mina the Hollower 38%
Big Walk 11.0%
Mewgenics 11%
Meccha Chameleon 11%
$14,127 交易量
$14,127 交易量
Mina the Hollower
38%
Big Walk
11%
Mewgenics
11%
Meccha Chameleon
11%
MIO:記憶軌道
9%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
7%
Mixtape
7%
MOLE
4%
Fields of Mistria
4%
ZERO PARADES:為死去的間諜
4%
Esoteric Ebb
3%
凱恩
3%
Reanimal
3%
Grave Seasons
3%
Titanium Court
3%
Tenebris Somnia
3%
吸血鬼爬行者
2%
Replaced
2%
inKONBINI:One Store. Many Stories
2%
Witchbrook
1%
沉星之序
1%
Neverway
1%
Coffee Talk Tokyo
<1%
Phonopolis
<1%
Mina the Hollower 38%
Big Walk 11.0%
Mewgenics 11%
Meccha Chameleon 11%
$14,127 交易量
$14,127 交易量
Mina the Hollower
38%
Big Walk
11%
Mewgenics
11%
Meccha Chameleon
11%
MIO:記憶軌道
9%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
7%
Mixtape
7%
MOLE
4%
Fields of Mistria
4%
ZERO PARADES:為死去的間諜
4%
Esoteric Ebb
3%
凱恩
3%
Reanimal
3%
Grave Seasons
3%
Titanium Court
3%
Tenebris Somnia
3%
吸血鬼爬行者
2%
Replaced
2%
inKONBINI:One Store. Many Stories
2%
Witchbrook
1%
沉星之序
1%
Neverway
1%
Coffee Talk Tokyo
<1%
Phonopolis
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mina the Hollower leads The Game Awards Best Independent Game market at 38% implied probability thanks to its May 2026 release and strong critical consensus, including near-universal acclaim and scores in the low 90s from outlets like IGN. Yacht Club Games’ Metroidvania-style follow-up to Shovel Knight has earned praise for tight design, atmospheric storytelling, and retro-modern fusion, positioning it as the early frontrunner among 2026 indies. However, Big Walk has recently gained ground in industry discussions, highlighting how player resonance and broader buzz can shift momentum beyond pure review aggregates. With the December ceremony months away and additional high-profile releases still incoming, the race remains fluid as guild nods, streaming metrics, and late-year critical darlings emerge to challenge the current leader.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions