In August 2026, The Game Awards Game of the Year market reflects a wide-open race with leading contenders clustered near 40-50% implied probability, driven by the year's incomplete slate of releases and mixed early critical reception. Resident Evil Requiem and 007 First Light lead among launched titles thanks to strong reviews, franchise momentum, and innovative gameplay that align with The Game Awards' preference for polished, accessible experiences. Upcoming heavyweights like Grand Theft Auto VI, Gears of War: E-Day, and Marvel's Wolverine introduce volatility, as delayed launches, review scores, and marketing campaigns could rapidly shift trader consensus. Historical patterns favor games with strong precursor buzz and broad appeal, but the fragmented field leaves room for late surges from indies or surprises like Onimusha: Way of the Sword.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於遊戲大獎:年度遊戲
Onimusha: Way of the Sword 43%
Stranger Than Heaven 43%
Control Resonant 42%
Esoteric Ebb 42%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
43%
Stranger Than Heaven
43%
Control Resonant
42%
Esoteric Ebb
42%
Gears of War: E-Day
42%
Exodus
42%
Reanimal
42%
Marathon
42%
Nioh 3
42%
Crimson Desert
42%
Saros
42%
Resident Evil Requiem
41%
Cairn
41%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
41%
The Duskbloods
40%
Slay the Spire 2
39%
Forza Horizon 6
38%
Marvel's Wolverine
38%
Fable
38%
Pragmata
37%
Grand Theft Auto VI
36%
Phantom Blade Zero
36%
Half-Life 3
35%
007 First Light
34%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword 43%
Stranger Than Heaven 43%
Control Resonant 42%
Esoteric Ebb 42%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
43%
Stranger Than Heaven
43%
Control Resonant
42%
Esoteric Ebb
42%
Gears of War: E-Day
42%
Exodus
42%
Reanimal
42%
Marathon
42%
Nioh 3
42%
Crimson Desert
42%
Saros
42%
Resident Evil Requiem
41%
Cairn
41%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
41%
The Duskbloods
40%
Slay the Spire 2
39%
Forza Horizon 6
38%
Marvel's Wolverine
38%
Fable
38%
Pragmata
37%
Grand Theft Auto VI
36%
Phantom Blade Zero
36%
Half-Life 3
35%
007 First Light
34%
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In August 2026, The Game Awards Game of the Year market reflects a wide-open race with leading contenders clustered near 40-50% implied probability, driven by the year's incomplete slate of releases and mixed early critical reception. Resident Evil Requiem and 007 First Light lead among launched titles thanks to strong reviews, franchise momentum, and innovative gameplay that align with The Game Awards' preference for polished, accessible experiences. Upcoming heavyweights like Grand Theft Auto VI, Gears of War: E-Day, and Marvel's Wolverine introduce volatility, as delayed launches, review scores, and marketing campaigns could rapidly shift trader consensus. Historical patterns favor games with strong precursor buzz and broad appeal, but the fragmented field leaves room for late surges from indies or surprises like Onimusha: Way of the Sword.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions