This early stage of the 2026 awards cycle leaves the Best Picture market reflecting broad uncertainty, with The Odyssey holding a modest edge on the strength of Christopher Nolan’s proven awards momentum and high-profile casting. Most other titles sit near even implied probability because few films have screened or accumulated the guild and critics’ circuit results that typically shape voter consensus. Historical patterns show that frontrunner status often shifts once fall festival premieres, PGA and DGA nominations, and early guild screenings clarify campaign trajectories. Key upcoming catalysts include late-2026 releases, precursor announcements, and the eventual narrowing of the field once the Academy’s voting membership begins forming preferences. Traders are pricing in the wide-open nature of the race rather than any single confirmed frontrunner.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳影片獎
2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳影片獎
奧德賽 55%
La Bola Negra 22%
沙丘：第三部 11%
挖掘者 7.0%
$209,141 交易量
$209,141 交易量
2027-03-14
奧德賽
55%
La Bola Negra
22%
沙丘：第三部
11%
挖掘者
7%
野馬九號
5%
海梅計劃
3%
初次登場
2%
峽灣
2%
The Invite
1%
巨獸！
1%
社會清算
<1%
戲劇
<1%
克里夫·布斯歷險記
<1%
克拉麗莎
<1%
約瑟芬
<1%
土星回歸
<1%
Tony
<1%
揭露日
<1%
祖國
<1%
All of a Sudden
<1%
邁克爾
<1%
復仇者聯盟：世界末日
<1%
奧德賽 55%
La Bola Negra 22%
沙丘：第三部 11%
挖掘者 7.0%
$209,141 交易量
$209,141 交易量
2027-03-14
奧德賽
$126,223 交易量
55%
La Bola Negra
$6,097 交易量
22%
沙丘：第三部
$18,574 交易量
11%
挖掘者
$9,092 交易量
7%
野馬九號
$8,598 交易量
5%
海梅計劃
$4,602 交易量
3%
初次登場
$5,301 交易量
2%
峽灣
$4,881 交易量
2%
The Invite
$1,654 交易量
1%
巨獸！
$4,011 交易量
1%
社會清算
$1,429 交易量
<1%
戲劇
$1,579 交易量
<1%
克里夫·布斯歷險記
$1,457 交易量
<1%
克拉麗莎
$1,423 交易量
<1%
約瑟芬
$1,625 交易量
<1%
土星回歸
$1,438 交易量
<1%
Tony
$3,623 交易量
<1%
揭露日
$1,484 交易量
<1%
祖國
$1,426 交易量
<1%
All of a Sudden
$1,438 交易量
<1%
邁克爾
$1,591 交易量
<1%
復仇者聯盟：世界末日
$1,594 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This early stage of the 2026 awards cycle leaves the Best Picture market reflecting broad uncertainty, with The Odyssey holding a modest edge on the strength of Christopher Nolan’s proven awards momentum and high-profile casting. Most other titles sit near even implied probability because few films have screened or accumulated the guild and critics’ circuit results that typically shape voter consensus. Historical patterns show that frontrunner status often shifts once fall festival premieres, PGA and DGA nominations, and early guild screenings clarify campaign trajectories. Key upcoming catalysts include late-2026 releases, precursor announcements, and the eventual narrowing of the field once the Academy’s voting membership begins forming preferences. Traders are pricing in the wide-open nature of the race rather than any single confirmed frontrunner.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
交易量
$209,141結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This early stage of the 2026 awards cycle leaves the Best Picture market reflecting broad uncertainty, with The Odyssey holding a modest edge on the strength of Christopher Nolan’s proven awards momentum and high-profile casting. Most other titles sit near even implied probability because few films have screened or accumulated the guild and critics’ circuit results that typically shape voter consensus. Historical patterns show that frontrunner status often shifts once fall festival premieres, PGA and DGA nominations, and early guild screenings clarify campaign trajectories. Key upcoming catalysts include late-2026 releases, precursor announcements, and the eventual narrowing of the field once the Academy’s voting membership begins forming preferences. Traders are pricing in the wide-open nature of the race rather than any single confirmed frontrunner.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$209,141結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETThis early stage of the 2026 awards cycle leaves the Best Picture market reflecting broad uncertainty, with The Odyssey holding a modest edge on the strength of Christopher Nolan’s proven awards momentum and high-profile casting. Most other titles sit near even implied probability because few films have screened or accumulated the guild and critics’ circuit results that typically shape voter consensus. Historical patterns show that frontrunner status often shifts once fall festival premieres, PGA and DGA nominations, and early guild screenings clarify campaign trajectories. Key upcoming catalysts include late-2026 releases, precursor announcements, and the eventual narrowing of the field once the Academy’s voting membership begins forming preferences. Traders are pricing in the wide-open nature of the race rather than any single confirmed frontrunner.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions