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icon for 2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎

2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎

icon for 2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎

2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎

Julianne Moore 28%

Renate Reinsve 27%

Sandra Hüller 27%

Scarlett Johansson 27%

Polymarket
最新

Julianne Moore 28%

Renate Reinsve 27%

Sandra Hüller 27%

Scarlett Johansson 27%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Julianne Moore

Julianne Moore

$0 交易量

28%

icon for Renate Reinsve

Renate Reinsve

$0 交易量

27%

icon for Sandra Hüller

Sandra Hüller

$0 交易量

27%

icon for Scarlett Johansson

Scarlett Johansson

$0 交易量

27%

icon for Rachel Brosnahan

Rachel Brosnahan

$0 交易量

26%

icon for Virginie Efira

Virginie Efira

$0 交易量

26%

icon for Ruth Madeley

Ruth Madeley

$0 交易量

26%

icon for Sophie Okonedo

Sophie Okonedo

$0 交易量

26%

icon for Léa Seydoux

Léa Seydoux

$0 交易量

26%

icon for Michelle Williams

Michelle Williams

$0 交易量

26%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With no dominant frontrunner yet for the 2027 Oscars Best Actress race, traders have priced nearly every listed contender between 45% and 50.5% implied probability, reflecting the wide-open field for 2026 releases. The cycle remains in its earliest phase, with major studio campaigns, guild screenings, and critics' awards still months away, allowing buzz around performances in upcoming films to shift rapidly. Historical patterns show that early momentum often stems from strong festival debuts or box-office surprises, but late-year releases frequently overtake initial favorites once reviews and precursors accumulate. Upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and year-end critic lists that could consolidate support among actresses like Renate Reinsve or established names such as Julianne Moore and Sandra Hüller.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2027-03-14
市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With no dominant frontrunner yet for the 2027 Oscars Best Actress race, traders have priced nearly every listed contender between 45% and 50.5% implied probability, reflecting the wide-open field for 2026 releases. The cycle remains in its earliest phase, with major studio campaigns, guild screenings, and critics' awards still months away, allowing buzz around performances in upcoming films to shift rapidly. Historical patterns show that early momentum often stems from strong festival debuts or box-office surprises, but late-year releases frequently overtake initial favorites once reviews and precursors accumulate. Upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and year-end critic lists that could consolidate support among actresses like Renate Reinsve or established names such as Julianne Moore and Sandra Hüller.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2027-03-14
市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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麥特·戴蒙會在第99屆奧斯卡金像獎獲得最佳男主角嗎？

30%
是
icon for Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

91%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Julianne Moore" at 28%, followed by "Renate Reinsve" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎" is "Julianne Moore" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Renate Reinsve" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.