Skip to main content
icon for 2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主

2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主

icon for 2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主

2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主

麥特·戴蒙 30%

湯姆·克魯斯 29%

安德魯·斯科特 11%

約翰·馬克維奇 9%

Polymarket
最新

麥特·戴蒙 30%

湯姆·克魯斯 29%

安德魯·斯科特 11%

約翰·馬克維奇 9%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 麥特·戴蒙

麥特·戴蒙

$39 交易量

30%

icon for 湯姆·克魯斯

湯姆·克魯斯

$42 交易量

29%

icon for 安德魯·斯科特

安德魯·斯科特

$19 交易量

11%

icon for 約翰·馬克維奇

約翰·馬克維奇

$19 交易量

9%

icon for 萊恩·葛斯林

萊恩·葛斯林

$19 交易量

7%

icon for 約翰·特托羅

約翰·特托羅

$19 交易量

7%

icon for 傑瑞米·斯特朗

傑瑞米·斯特朗

$19 交易量

7%

icon for 提莫西·查拉梅

提莫西·查拉梅

$19 交易量

6%

icon for 賽巴斯汀·斯坦

賽巴斯汀·斯坦

$19 交易量

5%

icon for 賈法爾·傑克森

賈法爾·傑克森

$19 交易量

5%

icon for 亞當·崔佛

亞當·崔佛

$19 交易量

5%

icon for 哈維爾·巴登

哈維爾·巴登

$19 交易量

5%

icon for 布萊德·彼特

布萊德·彼特

$19 交易量

5%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$19 交易量

5%

icon for Pedro Pascal

Pedro Pascal

$19 交易量

4%

icon for 羅伯特·阿拉馬約

羅伯特·阿拉馬約

$29 交易量

7%

icon for 喬什·奧康納

喬什·奧康納

$19 交易量

3%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars cycle still in its early stages, trader sentiment for Best Actor shows a crowded field of contenders priced at similar levels, reflecting limited 2026 release data and no clear frontrunner yet. Established stars such as Matt Damon hold the highest implied probability due to career momentum and anticipated projects, while names like Tom Cruise, Ryan Gosling, and Timothée Chalamet trade lower amid broader competition from festival hopefuls and studio campaigns. Differentiating factors will hinge on upcoming critical reception, guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and others, and box-office performance once fall releases hit. Historical patterns suggest late-year breakthroughs can rapidly shift consensus before voting begins.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$383
結束日期
2027-03-14
市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars cycle still in its early stages, trader sentiment for Best Actor shows a crowded field of contenders priced at similar levels, reflecting limited 2026 release data and no clear frontrunner yet. Established stars such as Matt Damon hold the highest implied probability due to career momentum and anticipated projects, while names like Tom Cruise, Ryan Gosling, and Timothée Chalamet trade lower amid broader competition from festival hopefuls and studio campaigns. Differentiating factors will hinge on upcoming critical reception, guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and others, and box-office performance once fall releases hit. Historical patterns suggest late-year breakthroughs can rapidly shift consensus before voting begins.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$383
結束日期
2027-03-14
市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

相關

icon for Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

91%
icon for 《奧德賽》會在第99屆奧斯卡金像獎獲得最佳影片獎嗎？

《奧德賽》會在第99屆奧斯卡金像獎獲得最佳影片獎嗎？

51%
是
icon for Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

28%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "麥特·戴蒙" at 30%, followed by "湯姆·克魯斯" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主" is "麥特·戴蒙" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "湯姆·克魯斯" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.