Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey has emerged as the clear frontrunner for the 2027 Best Director Oscar, driving trader consensus around his 64.5% implied probability through early Academy screenings that drew enthusiastic responses from voters calling him the “definitive filmmaker of our time.” The July 2026 release shattered box-office records and earned praise for its technical ambition, including being the first feature shot entirely in IMAX, building on Nolan’s recent Oppenheimer win and strong historical precedent for directors with major epics. Late-2026 releases such as Denis Villeneuve’s Dune: Part Three keep him in contention at lower odds, while other listed directors remain longshots pending festival debuts, guild recognition, and critical consensus that could shift momentum before the ceremony.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳導演獎得主
2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳導演獎得主
克里斯多福·諾蘭 65%
丹尼斯·維倫紐瓦 14%
亞歷杭德羅·岡薩雷斯·伊納里圖 9%
傑西·艾森柏格 4.5%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
克里斯多福·諾蘭
65%
丹尼斯·維倫紐瓦
14%
亞歷杭德羅·岡薩雷斯·伊納里圖
9%
傑西·艾森柏格
4%
馬丁·麥多納
4%
Lance Oppenheim
2%
亞倫·索金
6%
史蒂文·斯皮爾伯格
2%
菲爾·羅德或克里斯多福·米勒
2%
大衛·O·羅素
1%
彼得·法雷利
1%
奧莉維亞·王爾德
1%
喬丹·弗斯特曼
1%
巴薩姆·塔里克
1%
克里斯多福·諾蘭 65%
丹尼斯·維倫紐瓦 14%
亞歷杭德羅·岡薩雷斯·伊納里圖 9%
傑西·艾森柏格 4.5%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
克里斯多福·諾蘭
$859 交易量
65%
丹尼斯·維倫紐瓦
$185 交易量
14%
亞歷杭德羅·岡薩雷斯·伊納里圖
$185 交易量
9%
傑西·艾森柏格
$175 交易量
4%
馬丁·麥多納
$164 交易量
4%
Lance Oppenheim
$625 交易量
2%
亞倫·索金
$117 交易量
6%
史蒂文·斯皮爾伯格
$185 交易量
2%
菲爾·羅德或克里斯多福·米勒
$145 交易量
2%
大衛·O·羅素
$125 交易量
1%
彼得·法雷利
$114 交易量
1%
奧莉維亞·王爾德
$105 交易量
1%
喬丹·弗斯特曼
$125 交易量
1%
巴薩姆·塔里克
$124 交易量
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey has emerged as the clear frontrunner for the 2027 Best Director Oscar, driving trader consensus around his 64.5% implied probability through early Academy screenings that drew enthusiastic responses from voters calling him the “definitive filmmaker of our time.” The July 2026 release shattered box-office records and earned praise for its technical ambition, including being the first feature shot entirely in IMAX, building on Nolan’s recent Oppenheimer win and strong historical precedent for directors with major epics. Late-2026 releases such as Denis Villeneuve’s Dune: Part Three keep him in contention at lower odds, while other listed directors remain longshots pending festival debuts, guild recognition, and critical consensus that could shift momentum before the ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
交易量
$3,234結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey has emerged as the clear frontrunner for the 2027 Best Director Oscar, driving trader consensus around his 64.5% implied probability through early Academy screenings that drew enthusiastic responses from voters calling him the “definitive filmmaker of our time.” The July 2026 release shattered box-office records and earned praise for its technical ambition, including being the first feature shot entirely in IMAX, building on Nolan’s recent Oppenheimer win and strong historical precedent for directors with major epics. Late-2026 releases such as Denis Villeneuve’s Dune: Part Three keep him in contention at lower odds, while other listed directors remain longshots pending festival debuts, guild recognition, and critical consensus that could shift momentum before the ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,234結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey has emerged as the clear frontrunner for the 2027 Best Director Oscar, driving trader consensus around his 64.5% implied probability through early Academy screenings that drew enthusiastic responses from voters calling him the “definitive filmmaker of our time.” The July 2026 release shattered box-office records and earned praise for its technical ambition, including being the first feature shot entirely in IMAX, building on Nolan’s recent Oppenheimer win and strong historical precedent for directors with major epics. Late-2026 releases such as Denis Villeneuve’s Dune: Part Three keep him in contention at lower odds, while other listed directors remain longshots pending festival debuts, guild recognition, and critical consensus that could shift momentum before the ceremony.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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