The market's near-certain consensus on "No" stems from the short remaining window through 2027 and the long historical pattern of unfulfilled apocalyptic forecasts in religious and pop culture narratives, with no verifiable signs or mainstream cultural momentum indicating an imminent return. Traders weigh the absence of recent global events, theological signals, or viral cultural shifts that could accelerate such an outcome, mirroring how similar predictions have repeatedly failed to materialize on tight timelines. While an upset remains theoretically possible through a sudden, widely interpreted world event, the compressed timeframe leaves little room for the kind of broad consensus or precursor developments that have swayed other high-stakes cultural markets.