The official start of auditions in May 2026, led by casting director Nina Gold for Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve, has sharpened trader focus on the next Bond. Callum Turner leads at 36% implied probability due to his British background, age in the targeted late-20s to mid-30s range, and recent high-profile work in Masters of the Air and the Fantastic Beasts franchise, aligning with persistent insider reports favoring an established yet not overexposed actor. Jacob Elordi sits at 10.5% amid mentions of meetings with producers and his Oscar-nominated turn in Frankenstein, though his Australian origins introduce some uncertainty around the British preference. The wide field, including lower-odds names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson, reflects the emphasis on a “fresh face” and the early stage of the process, with no casting confirmed and historical precedent for late shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Next James Bond actor?
Callum Turner 43%
Jacob Elordi 12%
No Bond chosen 9%
Jack Lowdon 6.3%
Callum Turner
36%
Jacob Elordi
11%
No Bond chosen
9%
Jack Lowdon
6%
Tom Holland
6%
Harris Dickinson
6%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
5%
Robert James-Collier
5%
Josh O'Connor
4%
Henry Cavill
4%
Theo James
3%
James Norton
3%
Michael B Jordan
3%
Tom Hardy
3%
Timothee Chalamet
3%
Paul Mescal
3%
Pierce Brosnan
1%
Callum Turner 43%
Jacob Elordi 12%
No Bond chosen 9%
Jack Lowdon 6.3%
Callum Turner
36%
Jacob Elordi
11%
No Bond chosen
9%
Jack Lowdon
6%
Tom Holland
6%
Harris Dickinson
6%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
5%
Robert James-Collier
5%
Josh O'Connor
4%
Henry Cavill
4%
Theo James
3%
James Norton
3%
Michael B Jordan
3%
Tom Hardy
3%
Timothee Chalamet
3%
Paul Mescal
3%
Pierce Brosnan
1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The official start of auditions in May 2026, led by casting director Nina Gold for Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve, has sharpened trader focus on the next Bond. Callum Turner leads at 36% implied probability due to his British background, age in the targeted late-20s to mid-30s range, and recent high-profile work in Masters of the Air and the Fantastic Beasts franchise, aligning with persistent insider reports favoring an established yet not overexposed actor. Jacob Elordi sits at 10.5% amid mentions of meetings with producers and his Oscar-nominated turn in Frankenstein, though his Australian origins introduce some uncertainty around the British preference. The wide field, including lower-odds names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson, reflects the emphasis on a “fresh face” and the early stage of the process, with no casting confirmed and historical precedent for late shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions