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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 43%

Jacob Elordi 12%

No Bond chosen 9%

Jack Lowdon 6.3%

Polymarket
最新

Callum Turner 43%

Jacob Elordi 12%

No Bond chosen 9%

Jack Lowdon 6.3%

Polymarket
最新

Callum Turner

$163 交易量

36%

Jacob Elordi

$106 交易量

11%

No Bond chosen

$107 交易量

9%

Jack Lowdon

$94 交易量

6%

Tom Holland

$87 交易量

6%

Harris Dickinson

$123 交易量

6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$364 交易量

5%

Robert James-Collier

$85 交易量

5%

Josh O'Connor

$1,524 交易量

4%

Henry Cavill

$89 交易量

4%

Theo James

$178 交易量

3%

James Norton

$124 交易量

3%

Michael B Jordan

$101 交易量

3%

Tom Hardy

$85 交易量

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$116 交易量

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 交易量

3%

Pierce Brosnan

$139 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official start of auditions in May 2026, led by casting director Nina Gold for Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve, has sharpened trader focus on the next Bond. Callum Turner leads at 36% implied probability due to his British background, age in the targeted late-20s to mid-30s range, and recent high-profile work in Masters of the Air and the Fantastic Beasts franchise, aligning with persistent insider reports favoring an established yet not overexposed actor. Jacob Elordi sits at 10.5% amid mentions of meetings with producers and his Oscar-nominated turn in Frankenstein, though his Australian origins introduce some uncertainty around the British preference. The wide field, including lower-odds names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson, reflects the emphasis on a “fresh face” and the early stage of the process, with no casting confirmed and historical precedent for late shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,614
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official start of auditions in May 2026, led by casting director Nina Gold for Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve, has sharpened trader focus on the next Bond. Callum Turner leads at 36% implied probability due to his British background, age in the targeted late-20s to mid-30s range, and recent high-profile work in Masters of the Air and the Fantastic Beasts franchise, aligning with persistent insider reports favoring an established yet not overexposed actor. Jacob Elordi sits at 10.5% amid mentions of meetings with producers and his Oscar-nominated turn in Frankenstein, though his Australian origins introduce some uncertainty around the British preference. The wide field, including lower-odds names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson, reflects the emphasis on a “fresh face” and the early stage of the process, with no casting confirmed and historical precedent for late shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,614
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Callum Turner" at 36%, followed by "Jacob Elordi" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Next James Bond actor?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "Callum Turner" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jacob Elordi" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.