**Avengers: Doomsday** holds a narrow lead in trader sentiment due to its exceptional early presales—$16.5 million on the first day for premium formats alone, double *Deadpool & Wolverine*’s pace—and massive ensemble hype featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers, and cross-universe heroes. This positions the December 18 release for a projected $260–300 million domestic opening despite sharing the weekend with *Dune: Messiah* in the “Dunesday” clash. *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* sits close behind after its record $360 million domestic debut in late July, the second-biggest opening ever, but faces the challenge of sustaining momentum against Doomsday’s holiday timing and scale. Animated entries like *Toy Story 5* and franchise films such as *The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping* register negligible odds, lacking comparable event-level anticipation or tracking.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 55%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 45%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$136,468 交易量
$136,468 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
55%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
45%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 55%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 45%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$136,468 交易量
$136,468 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
$55,958 交易量
55%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$47,574 交易量
45%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 交易量
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 交易量
<1%
Toy Story 5
$3,657 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday** holds a narrow lead in trader sentiment due to its exceptional early presales—$16.5 million on the first day for premium formats alone, double *Deadpool & Wolverine*’s pace—and massive ensemble hype featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers, and cross-universe heroes. This positions the December 18 release for a projected $260–300 million domestic opening despite sharing the weekend with *Dune: Messiah* in the “Dunesday” clash. *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* sits close behind after its record $360 million domestic debut in late July, the second-biggest opening ever, but faces the challenge of sustaining momentum against Doomsday’s holiday timing and scale. Animated entries like *Toy Story 5* and franchise films such as *The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping* register negligible odds, lacking comparable event-level anticipation or tracking.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$136,468結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday** holds a narrow lead in trader sentiment due to its exceptional early presales—$16.5 million on the first day for premium formats alone, double *Deadpool & Wolverine*’s pace—and massive ensemble hype featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers, and cross-universe heroes. This positions the December 18 release for a projected $260–300 million domestic opening despite sharing the weekend with *Dune: Messiah* in the “Dunesday” clash. *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* sits close behind after its record $360 million domestic debut in late July, the second-biggest opening ever, but faces the challenge of sustaining momentum against Doomsday’s holiday timing and scale. Animated entries like *Toy Story 5* and franchise films such as *The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping* register negligible odds, lacking comparable event-level anticipation or tracking.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$136,468結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET**Avengers: Doomsday** holds a narrow lead in trader sentiment due to its exceptional early presales—$16.5 million on the first day for premium formats alone, double *Deadpool & Wolverine*’s pace—and massive ensemble hype featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers, and cross-universe heroes. This positions the December 18 release for a projected $260–300 million domestic opening despite sharing the weekend with *Dune: Messiah* in the “Dunesday” clash. *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* sits close behind after its record $360 million domestic debut in late July, the second-biggest opening ever, but faces the challenge of sustaining momentum against Doomsday’s holiday timing and scale. Animated entries like *Toy Story 5* and franchise films such as *The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping* register negligible odds, lacking comparable event-level anticipation or tracking.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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