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icon for 艾美獎2026 ：限量或選集系列或電影中的傑出女主角

艾美獎2026 ：限量或選集系列或電影中的傑出女主角

icon for 艾美獎2026 ：限量或選集系列或電影中的傑出女主角

艾美獎2026 ：限量或選集系列或電影中的傑出女主角

嘉莉·瑪莉根 –《怒嗆人生》 51%

莎拉·斯努克 –《都是她的錯》 51%

Sarah Pidgeon–《愛情故事：約翰·F·甘迺迪小與卡洛琳·貝塞特》 19%

莎莉·菲爾德——《驚人亮眼的生物》 14%

Polymarket
最新

嘉莉·瑪莉根 –《怒嗆人生》 51%

莎拉·斯努克 –《都是她的錯》 51%

Sarah Pidgeon–《愛情故事：約翰·F·甘迺迪小與卡洛琳·貝塞特》 19%

莎莉·菲爾德——《驚人亮眼的生物》 14%

Polymarket
最新

嘉莉·瑪莉根 –《怒嗆人生》

$5 交易量

51%

莎拉·斯努克 –《都是她的錯》

$0 交易量

51%

Sarah Pidgeon–《愛情故事：約翰·F·甘迺迪小與卡洛琳·貝塞特》

$41 交易量

19%

莎莉·菲爾德——《驚人亮眼的生物》

$5 交易量

14%

Claire Danes –《野獸在我》

$0 交易量

9%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie". If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight 49.5–50% market pricing among Sally Field (“Remarkably Bright Creatures”), Sarah Pidgeon (“Love Story”), Sarah Snook (“All Her Fault”), Claire Danes (“The Beast In Me”), and Carey Mulligan (“Beef”) reflects a genuinely open field following the recent Emmy nominations. Field brings veteran prestige and a long-awaited return after 17 years, while Pidgeon and Mulligan generate buzz as first-time nominees riding projects with strong limited-series momentum. Snook and Danes leverage established TV pedigrees and multiple nods for their respective thrillers and psychological dramas. With the September ceremony still months away, traders are weighing historical voting patterns favoring name recognition against fresh critical narratives and guild signals that could shift the deadlock in the coming weeks.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$51
結束日期
2026-09-14
市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie". If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie". If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight 49.5–50% market pricing among Sally Field (“Remarkably Bright Creatures”), Sarah Pidgeon (“Love Story”), Sarah Snook (“All Her Fault”), Claire Danes (“The Beast In Me”), and Carey Mulligan (“Beef”) reflects a genuinely open field following the recent Emmy nominations. Field brings veteran prestige and a long-awaited return after 17 years, while Pidgeon and Mulligan generate buzz as first-time nominees riding projects with strong limited-series momentum. Snook and Danes leverage established TV pedigrees and multiple nods for their respective thrillers and psychological dramas. With the September ceremony still months away, traders are weighing historical voting patterns favoring name recognition against fresh critical narratives and guild signals that could shift the deadlock in the coming weeks.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$51
結束日期
2026-09-14
市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie". If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"艾美獎2026 ：限量或選集系列或電影中的傑出女主角" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "嘉莉·瑪莉根 –《怒嗆人生》" at 51%, followed by "莎拉·斯努克 –《都是她的錯》" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"艾美獎2026 ：限量或選集系列或電影中的傑出女主角" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "艾美獎2026 ：限量或選集系列或電影中的傑出女主角," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "艾美獎2026 ：限量或選集系列或電影中的傑出女主角" is "嘉莉·瑪莉根 –《怒嗆人生》" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "莎拉·斯努克 –《都是她的錯》" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "艾美獎2026 ：限量或選集系列或電影中的傑出女主角" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.