The Traitors dominates the 2026 Emmy race for Outstanding Reality Competition Program at 92% implied probability, driven by its back-to-back wins in 2024 and 2025 plus strong technical recognition in directing, cinematography, and production design. Peacock’s series has earned consistent academy praise for its atmospheric execution and host Alan Cumming’s standout performance, building on recent Creative Arts sweeps that underscore its edge over traditional broadcast entries. Nominees including Survivor’s milestone 50th season, Dancing with the Stars’ viral resurgence, RuPaul’s Drag Race, and Top Chef face steeper historical barriers in a category that rewards momentum and innovation. An upset would require a late surge in final voting or unexpected guild-level shifts before the September 14 ceremony, though trader consensus currently views such scenarios as remote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於艾美獎2026 ：傑出的現實/競賽系列
艾美獎2026 ：傑出的現實/競賽系列
《背叛者》 92.0%
《倖存者》 4.8%
《魯保羅變裝皇后秀》 2.9%
《與星共舞》 2.6%
$28,254 交易量
$28,254 交易量
2026-09-14
《背叛者》
92%
《倖存者》
5%
《魯保羅變裝皇后秀》
3%
《與星共舞》
3%
《頂尖對決》
1%
《背叛者》 92.0%
《倖存者》 4.8%
《魯保羅變裝皇后秀》 2.9%
《與星共舞》 2.6%
$28,254 交易量
$28,254 交易量
2026-09-14
《背叛者》
$11,712 交易量
92%
《倖存者》
$9,333 交易量
5%
《魯保羅變裝皇后秀》
$4,030 交易量
3%
《與星共舞》
$1,672 交易量
3%
《頂尖對決》
$1,507 交易量
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors dominates the 2026 Emmy race for Outstanding Reality Competition Program at 92% implied probability, driven by its back-to-back wins in 2024 and 2025 plus strong technical recognition in directing, cinematography, and production design. Peacock’s series has earned consistent academy praise for its atmospheric execution and host Alan Cumming’s standout performance, building on recent Creative Arts sweeps that underscore its edge over traditional broadcast entries. Nominees including Survivor’s milestone 50th season, Dancing with the Stars’ viral resurgence, RuPaul’s Drag Race, and Top Chef face steeper historical barriers in a category that rewards momentum and innovation. An upset would require a late surge in final voting or unexpected guild-level shifts before the September 14 ceremony, though trader consensus currently views such scenarios as remote.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
交易量
$28,254結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors dominates the 2026 Emmy race for Outstanding Reality Competition Program at 92% implied probability, driven by its back-to-back wins in 2024 and 2025 plus strong technical recognition in directing, cinematography, and production design. Peacock’s series has earned consistent academy praise for its atmospheric execution and host Alan Cumming’s standout performance, building on recent Creative Arts sweeps that underscore its edge over traditional broadcast entries. Nominees including Survivor’s milestone 50th season, Dancing with the Stars’ viral resurgence, RuPaul’s Drag Race, and Top Chef face steeper historical barriers in a category that rewards momentum and innovation. An upset would require a late surge in final voting or unexpected guild-level shifts before the September 14 ceremony, though trader consensus currently views such scenarios as remote.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$28,254結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETThe Traitors dominates the 2026 Emmy race for Outstanding Reality Competition Program at 92% implied probability, driven by its back-to-back wins in 2024 and 2025 plus strong technical recognition in directing, cinematography, and production design. Peacock’s series has earned consistent academy praise for its atmospheric execution and host Alan Cumming’s standout performance, building on recent Creative Arts sweeps that underscore its edge over traditional broadcast entries. Nominees including Survivor’s milestone 50th season, Dancing with the Stars’ viral resurgence, RuPaul’s Drag Race, and Top Chef face steeper historical barriers in a category that rewards momentum and innovation. An upset would require a late surge in final voting or unexpected guild-level shifts before the September 14 ceremony, though trader consensus currently views such scenarios as remote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions