**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** leads trader sentiment in the merged Outstanding Variety Series category at 74.5% implied probability due to its final-season narrative and record nine nominations, including the series slot. The program earned its first Emmy in 2025 after cancellation and benefits from guild and critical recognition plus voter goodwill for a farewell send-off. The Television Academy’s new “area” award format—where nominees are evaluated independently against a high approval threshold—further supports a strong consensus around Colbert while allowing potential multiple winners if others clear the bar. Last Week Tonight, SNL, The Daily Show, and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail with single-digit odds, reflecting their established profiles but less urgent momentum heading into final voting and the September 14 ceremony.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於艾美獎2026 ：傑出綜藝系列
艾美獎2026 ：傑出綜藝系列
《史蒂芬·科貝爾晚間秀》 75%
《上週今夜秀與約翰·奧利佛》 8.4%
《吉米·基墨直播！》 3.0%
《週六夜現場》 2.7%
$106,914 交易量
$106,914 交易量
2026-09-14
《史蒂芬·科貝爾晚間秀》
75%
《上週今夜秀與約翰·奧利佛》
8%
《吉米·基墨直播！》
3%
《週六夜現場》
3%
《每日秀》
2%
《史蒂芬·科貝爾晚間秀》 75%
《上週今夜秀與約翰·奧利佛》 8.4%
《吉米·基墨直播！》 3.0%
《週六夜現場》 2.7%
$106,914 交易量
$106,914 交易量
2026-09-14
《史蒂芬·科貝爾晚間秀》
$34,574 交易量
75%
《上週今夜秀與約翰·奧利佛》
$20,493 交易量
8%
《吉米·基墨直播！》
$25,407 交易量
3%
《週六夜現場》
$12,635 交易量
3%
《每日秀》
$13,805 交易量
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** leads trader sentiment in the merged Outstanding Variety Series category at 74.5% implied probability due to its final-season narrative and record nine nominations, including the series slot. The program earned its first Emmy in 2025 after cancellation and benefits from guild and critical recognition plus voter goodwill for a farewell send-off. The Television Academy’s new “area” award format—where nominees are evaluated independently against a high approval threshold—further supports a strong consensus around Colbert while allowing potential multiple winners if others clear the bar. Last Week Tonight, SNL, The Daily Show, and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail with single-digit odds, reflecting their established profiles but less urgent momentum heading into final voting and the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
交易量
$106,914結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** leads trader sentiment in the merged Outstanding Variety Series category at 74.5% implied probability due to its final-season narrative and record nine nominations, including the series slot. The program earned its first Emmy in 2025 after cancellation and benefits from guild and critical recognition plus voter goodwill for a farewell send-off. The Television Academy’s new “area” award format—where nominees are evaluated independently against a high approval threshold—further supports a strong consensus around Colbert while allowing potential multiple winners if others clear the bar. Last Week Tonight, SNL, The Daily Show, and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail with single-digit odds, reflecting their established profiles but less urgent momentum heading into final voting and the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$106,914結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** leads trader sentiment in the merged Outstanding Variety Series category at 74.5% implied probability due to its final-season narrative and record nine nominations, including the series slot. The program earned its first Emmy in 2025 after cancellation and benefits from guild and critical recognition plus voter goodwill for a farewell send-off. The Television Academy’s new “area” award format—where nominees are evaluated independently against a high approval threshold—further supports a strong consensus around Colbert while allowing potential multiple winners if others clear the bar. Last Week Tonight, SNL, The Daily Show, and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail with single-digit odds, reflecting their established profiles but less urgent momentum heading into final voting and the September 14 ceremony.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions