The record 24 Emmy nominations for “Hacks” final season, announced in July, anchor trader consensus around 2-3 total wins at 60% implied probability, reflecting strong positioning for Jean Smart’s likely fifth Lead Actress victory plus supporting nods while capping upside. Farewell-season sentiment and the show’s prior 12 Emmys create momentum, yet competition from breakout contenders like “Widow’s Bay” in Outstanding Comedy Series and mixed results from the recent Creative Arts Emmys have tempered expectations for a broader sweep. With final-round voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, guild and precursor patterns suggest voters will spread awards rather than deliver the 4-5 outcomes priced at just 3.1%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於How many Emmys will “Hacks” win?
2-3 61%
0-1 36.6%
4-5 3.1%
6-7 <1%
$115,647 交易量
$115,647 交易量
0-1
37%
2-3
61%
4-5
3%
6-7
1%
8-9
<1%
10+
<1%
2-3 61%
0-1 36.6%
4-5 3.1%
6-7 <1%
$115,647 交易量
$115,647 交易量
0-1
37%
2-3
61%
4-5
3%
6-7
1%
8-9
<1%
10+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The record 24 Emmy nominations for “Hacks” final season, announced in July, anchor trader consensus around 2-3 total wins at 60% implied probability, reflecting strong positioning for Jean Smart’s likely fifth Lead Actress victory plus supporting nods while capping upside. Farewell-season sentiment and the show’s prior 12 Emmys create momentum, yet competition from breakout contenders like “Widow’s Bay” in Outstanding Comedy Series and mixed results from the recent Creative Arts Emmys have tempered expectations for a broader sweep. With final-round voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, guild and precursor patterns suggest voters will spread awards rather than deliver the 4-5 outcomes priced at just 3.1%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions