The tight 2026 Emmy nomination race, with HBO Max leading at 122 nods ahead of Netflix’s 111 and Apple TV’s 87, has left traders viewing actual wins as highly uncertain, reflected in the clustered 42.5–50% odds. Multiple platforms field frontrunners across drama and comedy—HBO Max with “Hacks” and “The Pitt,” Apple TV with “Widow’s Bay” and “Pluribus,” and Netflix entries like “Beef”—while guild and critics’ precursors offer mixed signals rather than a clear sweep. Historical voting patterns show nomination volume rarely dictates final tallies, especially with secret ballots and category-specific momentum. The September ceremony remains the key catalyst, where late shifts in voter sentiment or upsets could still reorder the leaderboard.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於哪個串流媒體服務會贏得最多的艾美獎?
HBO Max 73%
Netflix 27%
Disney+ 13%
Peacock 12%

HBO Max
73%

Netflix
27%

Disney+
13%

Peacock
12%

Apple TV
12%

Prime Video
10%

Paramount+
8%

Hulu
8%
HBO Max 73%
Netflix 27%
Disney+ 13%
Peacock 12%

HBO Max
73%

Netflix
27%

Disney+
13%

Peacock
12%

Apple TV
12%

Prime Video
10%

Paramount+
8%

Hulu
8%
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight 2026 Emmy nomination race, with HBO Max leading at 122 nods ahead of Netflix’s 111 and Apple TV’s 87, has left traders viewing actual wins as highly uncertain, reflected in the clustered 42.5–50% odds. Multiple platforms field frontrunners across drama and comedy—HBO Max with “Hacks” and “The Pitt,” Apple TV with “Widow’s Bay” and “Pluribus,” and Netflix entries like “Beef”—while guild and critics’ precursors offer mixed signals rather than a clear sweep. Historical voting patterns show nomination volume rarely dictates final tallies, especially with secret ballots and category-specific momentum. The September ceremony remains the key catalyst, where late shifts in voter sentiment or upsets could still reorder the leaderboard.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions