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icon for 艾美獎2026 :傑出品種特輯(現場)

艾美獎2026 :傑出品種特輯(現場)

icon for 艾美獎2026 :傑出品種特輯(現場)

艾美獎2026 :傑出品種特輯(現場)

第六十屆超級盃中場表演(主秀:Bad Bunny) 82.7%

奧斯卡金像獎 10.7%

金球獎 4.0%

托尼獎 3.6%

Polymarket

$52,148 交易量

第六十屆超級盃中場表演(主秀:Bad Bunny) 82.7%

奧斯卡金像獎 10.7%

金球獎 4.0%

托尼獎 3.6%

Polymarket

$52,148 交易量

第六十屆超級盃中場表演(主秀:Bad Bunny)

$42,392 交易量

83%

奧斯卡金像獎

$5,710 交易量

11%

金球獎

$1,304 交易量

4%

托尼獎

$1,701 交易量

4%

葛萊美獎

$1,041 交易量

3%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl LX Halftime Show leads the market at 82.7% implied probability for Outstanding Variety Special (Live) because it earned a record nine Emmy nominations—the most ever for a halftime show—when the 2026 nominees were announced in early July.** The production, which aired February 8 on NBC and featured guests Lady Gaga and Ricky Martin, combined massive viewership near 128 million with ambitious staging, choreography, and cultural resonance that set it apart from prior entries. This nomination haul includes key technical and creative categories alongside the top prize, reinforcing its frontrunner status among voters. The four competing award shows—the Oscars, Grammys, Golden Globes, and Tonys—remain on the ballot as consistent category contenders with established industry prestige, yet none matched the halftime show’s nomination volume or recency buzz. With final voting wrapping on August 26 and the ceremony set for September 14, traders see limited room for a late upset absent any major new developments.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$52,148
結束日期
2026-09-14
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl LX Halftime Show leads the market at 82.7% implied probability for Outstanding Variety Special (Live) because it earned a record nine Emmy nominations—the most ever for a halftime show—when the 2026 nominees were announced in early July.** The production, which aired February 8 on NBC and featured guests Lady Gaga and Ricky Martin, combined massive viewership near 128 million with ambitious staging, choreography, and cultural resonance that set it apart from prior entries. This nomination haul includes key technical and creative categories alongside the top prize, reinforcing its frontrunner status among voters. The four competing award shows—the Oscars, Grammys, Golden Globes, and Tonys—remain on the ballot as consistent category contenders with established industry prestige, yet none matched the halftime show’s nomination volume or recency buzz. With final voting wrapping on August 26 and the ceremony set for September 14, traders see limited room for a late upset absent any major new developments.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$52,148
結束日期
2026-09-14
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"艾美獎2026 :傑出品種特輯(現場)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "第六十屆超級盃中場表演(主秀:Bad Bunny)" at 83%, followed by "奧斯卡金像獎" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "艾美獎2026 :傑出品種特輯(現場)" has generated $52.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "艾美獎2026 :傑出品種特輯(現場)," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "艾美獎2026 :傑出品種特輯(現場)" is "第六十屆超級盃中場表演(主秀:Bad Bunny)" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "奧斯卡金像獎" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "艾美獎2026 :傑出品種特輯(現場)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.