**Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl LX Halftime Show leads the market at 82.7% implied probability for Outstanding Variety Special (Live) because it earned a record nine Emmy nominations—the most ever for a halftime show—when the 2026 nominees were announced in early July.** The production, which aired February 8 on NBC and featured guests Lady Gaga and Ricky Martin, combined massive viewership near 128 million with ambitious staging, choreography, and cultural resonance that set it apart from prior entries. This nomination haul includes key technical and creative categories alongside the top prize, reinforcing its frontrunner status among voters. The four competing award shows—the Oscars, Grammys, Golden Globes, and Tonys—remain on the ballot as consistent category contenders with established industry prestige, yet none matched the halftime show’s nomination volume or recency buzz. With final voting wrapping on August 26 and the ceremony set for September 14, traders see limited room for a late upset absent any major new developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於艾美獎2026 :傑出品種特輯(現場)
第六十屆超級盃中場表演(主秀:Bad Bunny) 82.7%
奧斯卡金像獎 10.7%
金球獎 4.0%
托尼獎 3.6%
$52,148 交易量
$52,148 交易量
第六十屆超級盃中場表演(主秀:Bad Bunny)
83%
奧斯卡金像獎
11%
金球獎
4%
托尼獎
4%
葛萊美獎
3%
第六十屆超級盃中場表演(主秀:Bad Bunny) 82.7%
奧斯卡金像獎 10.7%
金球獎 4.0%
托尼獎 3.6%
$52,148 交易量
$52,148 交易量
第六十屆超級盃中場表演(主秀:Bad Bunny)
83%
奧斯卡金像獎
11%
金球獎
4%
托尼獎
4%
葛萊美獎
3%
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl LX Halftime Show leads the market at 82.7% implied probability for Outstanding Variety Special (Live) because it earned a record nine Emmy nominations—the most ever for a halftime show—when the 2026 nominees were announced in early July.** The production, which aired February 8 on NBC and featured guests Lady Gaga and Ricky Martin, combined massive viewership near 128 million with ambitious staging, choreography, and cultural resonance that set it apart from prior entries. This nomination haul includes key technical and creative categories alongside the top prize, reinforcing its frontrunner status among voters. The four competing award shows—the Oscars, Grammys, Golden Globes, and Tonys—remain on the ballot as consistent category contenders with established industry prestige, yet none matched the halftime show’s nomination volume or recency buzz. With final voting wrapping on August 26 and the ceremony set for September 14, traders see limited room for a late upset absent any major new developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions