Ernest Harden Jr.’s decisive win at the 2026 Creative Arts Emmys for his portrayal of recurring alcoholic patient Louie Cloverfield on The Pitt anchors the near-certain market consensus. The HBO Max medical drama earned 25 total nominations and swept multiple acting categories, building on its prior-season success and strong guild and critic momentum that translated into voter support for Harden’s first nomination. His emotional arc as a “frequent flyer” ER patient resonated amid the show’s realistic ensemble storytelling, outpacing higher-profile competitors like Colman Domingo and Jonathan Pryce. While late shifts in academy voting or unexpected write-in campaigns could theoretically create upsets in guest categories, the confirmed result and The Pitt’s overall dominance leave little room for reversal ahead of the main September 14 telecast.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於艾美獎2026 ：電視劇中的傑出客串演員
艾美獎2026 ：電視劇中的傑出客串演員
Ernest Harden Jr. –《皮特》 99.7%
Colman Domingo－《高校十八禁》 <1%
Jeff Hiller –《Pluribus》 <1%
強納森·普萊斯——《怒馬狂奔》 <1%
$94,358 交易量
$94,358 交易量
2026-09-14
Colman Domingo－《高校十八禁》
否
Ernest Harden Jr. –《皮特》
是
Jeff Hiller –《Pluribus》
否
傑夫·柯伯 —《地獄之井》
否
強納森·普萊斯——《怒馬狂奔》
否
布拉德利·惠特福德——《外交官》
否
Ernest Harden Jr. –《皮特》 99.7%
Colman Domingo－《高校十八禁》 <1%
Jeff Hiller –《Pluribus》 <1%
強納森·普萊斯——《怒馬狂奔》 <1%
$94,358 交易量
$94,358 交易量
2026-09-14
Colman Domingo－《高校十八禁》
$46,261 交易量
否
Ernest Harden Jr. –《皮特》
$19,815 交易量
是
Jeff Hiller –《Pluribus》
$5,602 交易量
否
傑夫·柯伯 —《地獄之井》
$7,117 交易量
否
強納森·普萊斯——《怒馬狂奔》
$4,441 交易量
否
布拉德利·惠特福德——《外交官》
$11,122 交易量
否
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ernest Harden Jr.’s decisive win at the 2026 Creative Arts Emmys for his portrayal of recurring alcoholic patient Louie Cloverfield on The Pitt anchors the near-certain market consensus. The HBO Max medical drama earned 25 total nominations and swept multiple acting categories, building on its prior-season success and strong guild and critic momentum that translated into voter support for Harden’s first nomination. His emotional arc as a “frequent flyer” ER patient resonated amid the show’s realistic ensemble storytelling, outpacing higher-profile competitors like Colman Domingo and Jonathan Pryce. While late shifts in academy voting or unexpected write-in campaigns could theoretically create upsets in guest categories, the confirmed result and The Pitt’s overall dominance leave little room for reversal ahead of the main September 14 telecast.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
交易量
$94,358結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ernest Harden Jr.’s decisive win at the 2026 Creative Arts Emmys for his portrayal of recurring alcoholic patient Louie Cloverfield on The Pitt anchors the near-certain market consensus. The HBO Max medical drama earned 25 total nominations and swept multiple acting categories, building on its prior-season success and strong guild and critic momentum that translated into voter support for Harden’s first nomination. His emotional arc as a “frequent flyer” ER patient resonated amid the show’s realistic ensemble storytelling, outpacing higher-profile competitors like Colman Domingo and Jonathan Pryce. While late shifts in academy voting or unexpected write-in campaigns could theoretically create upsets in guest categories, the confirmed result and The Pitt’s overall dominance leave little room for reversal ahead of the main September 14 telecast.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$94,358結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Ernest Harden Jr.’s decisive win at the 2026 Creative Arts Emmys for his portrayal of recurring alcoholic patient Louie Cloverfield on The Pitt anchors the near-certain market consensus. The HBO Max medical drama earned 25 total nominations and swept multiple acting categories, building on its prior-season success and strong guild and critic momentum that translated into voter support for Harden’s first nomination. His emotional arc as a “frequent flyer” ER patient resonated amid the show’s realistic ensemble storytelling, outpacing higher-profile competitors like Colman Domingo and Jonathan Pryce. While late shifts in academy voting or unexpected write-in campaigns could theoretically create upsets in guest categories, the confirmed result and The Pitt’s overall dominance leave little room for reversal ahead of the main September 14 telecast.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions