The Pitt's commanding 91.5% implied probability stems from its repeat frontrunner status after last year's drama series victory, capped by a leading 25 Emmy nominations—including a record 13 acting bids—for its sophomore season on HBO Max. The medical drama's realistic portrayal of emergency room shifts has sustained critical and guild momentum, with strong ensemble support for Noah Wyle and Katherine LaNasa reinforcing its industry narrative as the clear favorite. Other nominees like Pluribus, Slow Horses, and The Diplomat trail far behind in trader consensus. With final voting wrapped and the Sept. 14 ceremony approaching, an upset would require an unlikely late swing driven by unexpected voter fatigue or a surprise coalition behind a long shot like Your Friends & Neighbors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於艾美獎2026 ：傑出劇集
艾美獎2026 ：傑出劇集
《The Pitt》 92%
你的朋友和鄰居 3.9%
《七王國的騎士》 3.8%
《Slow Horses》 2.7%
$23,479 交易量
$23,479 交易量
2026-09-14
《The Pitt》
92%
你的朋友和鄰居
4%
《七王國的騎士》
4%
《Slow Horses》
3%
《華麗年代》
2%
外交使節
2%
《天堂》
1%
《The Pitt》 92%
你的朋友和鄰居 3.9%
《七王國的騎士》 3.8%
《Slow Horses》 2.7%
$23,479 交易量
$23,479 交易量
2026-09-14
《The Pitt》
$17,030 交易量
92%
你的朋友和鄰居
$1,112 交易量
4%
《七王國的騎士》
$662 交易量
4%
《Slow Horses》
$2,136 交易量
3%
《華麗年代》
$831 交易量
2%
外交使節
$856 交易量
2%
《天堂》
$851 交易量
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt's commanding 91.5% implied probability stems from its repeat frontrunner status after last year's drama series victory, capped by a leading 25 Emmy nominations—including a record 13 acting bids—for its sophomore season on HBO Max. The medical drama's realistic portrayal of emergency room shifts has sustained critical and guild momentum, with strong ensemble support for Noah Wyle and Katherine LaNasa reinforcing its industry narrative as the clear favorite. Other nominees like Pluribus, Slow Horses, and The Diplomat trail far behind in trader consensus. With final voting wrapped and the Sept. 14 ceremony approaching, an upset would require an unlikely late swing driven by unexpected voter fatigue or a surprise coalition behind a long shot like Your Friends & Neighbors.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
交易量
$23,479結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt's commanding 91.5% implied probability stems from its repeat frontrunner status after last year's drama series victory, capped by a leading 25 Emmy nominations—including a record 13 acting bids—for its sophomore season on HBO Max. The medical drama's realistic portrayal of emergency room shifts has sustained critical and guild momentum, with strong ensemble support for Noah Wyle and Katherine LaNasa reinforcing its industry narrative as the clear favorite. Other nominees like Pluribus, Slow Horses, and The Diplomat trail far behind in trader consensus. With final voting wrapped and the Sept. 14 ceremony approaching, an upset would require an unlikely late swing driven by unexpected voter fatigue or a surprise coalition behind a long shot like Your Friends & Neighbors.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$23,479結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETThe Pitt's commanding 91.5% implied probability stems from its repeat frontrunner status after last year's drama series victory, capped by a leading 25 Emmy nominations—including a record 13 acting bids—for its sophomore season on HBO Max. The medical drama's realistic portrayal of emergency room shifts has sustained critical and guild momentum, with strong ensemble support for Noah Wyle and Katherine LaNasa reinforcing its industry narrative as the clear favorite. Other nominees like Pluribus, Slow Horses, and The Diplomat trail far behind in trader consensus. With final voting wrapped and the Sept. 14 ceremony approaching, an upset would require an unlikely late swing driven by unexpected voter fatigue or a surprise coalition behind a long shot like Your Friends & Neighbors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions