Tom Pelphrey’s first Primetime Emmy win for his layered portrayal of Robbie Prendergrast in HBO’s “Task” has locked in overwhelming trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Critics and guild voters praised the performance’s emotional depth, particularly its resonance with themes of fatherhood and moral ambiguity in a working-class Philadelphia setting, which aligned with Pelphrey’s own recent life experiences. “Task” earned multiple nominations and strong precursor momentum, outpacing ensemble contenders from “The Pitt” despite that series’ critical dominance. An upset would have required a late surge from established names like Billy Crudup or a surprise guild sweep, but the ceremony outcome on September 14 eliminated those paths.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於艾美獎2026 ：戲劇系列中的傑出配角
艾美獎2026 ：戲劇系列中的傑出配角
湯姆·佩爾弗雷—《任務》 100.0%
派崔克·鮑爾 –《深坑》 <1%
比利·克魯德普 –《晨間直播秀》 <1%
Shawn Hatosy –《The Pitt》 <1%
$51,722 交易量
$51,722 交易量
2026-09-14
派崔克·鮑爾 –《深坑》
否
比利·克魯德普 –《晨間直播秀》
否
Shawn Hatosy –《The Pitt》
否
蓋蘭·豪威爾 –《深坑》
否
傑克·洛登——《緩刑馬》
否
湯姆·佩爾弗雷—《任務》
是
Carlos-Manuel Vesga –「Pluribus」
否
湯姆·佩爾弗雷—《任務》 100.0%
派崔克·鮑爾 –《深坑》 <1%
比利·克魯德普 –《晨間直播秀》 <1%
Shawn Hatosy –《The Pitt》 <1%
$51,722 交易量
$51,722 交易量
2026-09-14
派崔克·鮑爾 –《深坑》
$16,966 交易量
否
比利·克魯德普 –《晨間直播秀》
$3,057 交易量
否
Shawn Hatosy –《The Pitt》
$6,654 交易量
否
蓋蘭·豪威爾 –《深坑》
$927 交易量
否
傑克·洛登——《緩刑馬》
$2,951 交易量
否
湯姆·佩爾弗雷—《任務》
$18,969 交易量
是
Carlos-Manuel Vesga –「Pluribus」
$2,198 交易量
否
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Pelphrey’s first Primetime Emmy win for his layered portrayal of Robbie Prendergrast in HBO’s “Task” has locked in overwhelming trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Critics and guild voters praised the performance’s emotional depth, particularly its resonance with themes of fatherhood and moral ambiguity in a working-class Philadelphia setting, which aligned with Pelphrey’s own recent life experiences. “Task” earned multiple nominations and strong precursor momentum, outpacing ensemble contenders from “The Pitt” despite that series’ critical dominance. An upset would have required a late surge from established names like Billy Crudup or a surprise guild sweep, but the ceremony outcome on September 14 eliminated those paths.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$51,722結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Pelphrey’s first Primetime Emmy win for his layered portrayal of Robbie Prendergrast in HBO’s “Task” has locked in overwhelming trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Critics and guild voters praised the performance’s emotional depth, particularly its resonance with themes of fatherhood and moral ambiguity in a working-class Philadelphia setting, which aligned with Pelphrey’s own recent life experiences. “Task” earned multiple nominations and strong precursor momentum, outpacing ensemble contenders from “The Pitt” despite that series’ critical dominance. An upset would have required a late surge from established names like Billy Crudup or a surprise guild sweep, but the ceremony outcome on September 14 eliminated those paths.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$51,722結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Tom Pelphrey’s first Primetime Emmy win for his layered portrayal of Robbie Prendergrast in HBO’s “Task” has locked in overwhelming trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Critics and guild voters praised the performance’s emotional depth, particularly its resonance with themes of fatherhood and moral ambiguity in a working-class Philadelphia setting, which aligned with Pelphrey’s own recent life experiences. “Task” earned multiple nominations and strong precursor momentum, outpacing ensemble contenders from “The Pitt” despite that series’ critical dominance. An upset would have required a late surge from established names like Billy Crudup or a surprise guild sweep, but the ceremony outcome on September 14 eliminated those paths.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions