Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine leads trader sentiment in the early 2027 Original Screenplay market at 35.5% implied probability, driven by the writer-director’s proven track record with quirky, dialogue-driven originals and a stacked ensemble including John Malkovich and Sam Rockwell. Its Venice premiere and November release position it for early momentum. Obsession follows at 23% on reported critical buzz and low-budget breakout potential, while Digger and Fjord sit lower amid competition from prestige titles like Josephine and The Debut. At this pre-release stage, outcomes hinge on festival reception, guild precursors, and how voters weigh auteur scripts against broader industry narratives, with historical precedent favoring established voices in a wide-open field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 35%
Obsession 23%
Digger 12%
Fjord 8%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
Wild Horse Nine
35%
Obsession
23%
Digger
12%
Fjord
8%
The Drama
6%
Josephine
6%
The Debut
16%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
5%
The Invite
5%
A Place in Hell
4%
The Odyssey
3%
Club Kid
3%
Elsinore
3%
Fatherland
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
17%
The Black Ball
14%
Forgotten Island
2%
Wild Horse Nine 35%
Obsession 23%
Digger 12%
Fjord 8%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
Wild Horse Nine
$3,360 交易量
35%
Obsession
$121 交易量
23%
Digger
$321 交易量
12%
Fjord
$73 交易量
8%
The Drama
$36 交易量
6%
Josephine
$56 交易量
6%
The Debut
$102 交易量
16%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$56 交易量
5%
The Invite
$36 交易量
5%
A Place in Hell
$56 交易量
4%
The Odyssey
$56 交易量
3%
Club Kid
$39 交易量
3%
Elsinore
$36 交易量
3%
Fatherland
$36 交易量
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$102 交易量
17%
The Black Ball
$93 交易量
14%
Forgotten Island
$36 交易量
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine leads trader sentiment in the early 2027 Original Screenplay market at 35.5% implied probability, driven by the writer-director’s proven track record with quirky, dialogue-driven originals and a stacked ensemble including John Malkovich and Sam Rockwell. Its Venice premiere and November release position it for early momentum. Obsession follows at 23% on reported critical buzz and low-budget breakout potential, while Digger and Fjord sit lower amid competition from prestige titles like Josephine and The Debut. At this pre-release stage, outcomes hinge on festival reception, guild precursors, and how voters weigh auteur scripts against broader industry narratives, with historical precedent favoring established voices in a wide-open field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
交易量
$4,611結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine leads trader sentiment in the early 2027 Original Screenplay market at 35.5% implied probability, driven by the writer-director’s proven track record with quirky, dialogue-driven originals and a stacked ensemble including John Malkovich and Sam Rockwell. Its Venice premiere and November release position it for early momentum. Obsession follows at 23% on reported critical buzz and low-budget breakout potential, while Digger and Fjord sit lower amid competition from prestige titles like Josephine and The Debut. At this pre-release stage, outcomes hinge on festival reception, guild precursors, and how voters weigh auteur scripts against broader industry narratives, with historical precedent favoring established voices in a wide-open field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,611結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine leads trader sentiment in the early 2027 Original Screenplay market at 35.5% implied probability, driven by the writer-director’s proven track record with quirky, dialogue-driven originals and a stacked ensemble including John Malkovich and Sam Rockwell. Its Venice premiere and November release position it for early momentum. Obsession follows at 23% on reported critical buzz and low-budget breakout potential, while Digger and Fjord sit lower amid competition from prestige titles like Josephine and The Debut. At this pre-release stage, outcomes hinge on festival reception, guild precursors, and how voters weigh auteur scripts against broader industry narratives, with historical precedent favoring established voices in a wide-open field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions