Ant Middleton's high-profile Everest bid has left traders closely split across multiple time brackets, with implied probabilities clustered tightly between 44.5% and 48.5% for everything from 3–4 days through more than six days. The former SAS instructor's proven track record on extreme challenges like SAS: Who Dares Wins creates a baseline expectation of solid pacing, yet the inherent unpredictability of high-altitude conditions—weather windows, acclimatization demands, and physical toll—keeps several outcomes in play. Public training updates and expedition logistics have reinforced this balanced sentiment rather than favoring any single bracket. Live progress reports from the mountain remain the key upcoming catalyst that could quickly shift trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?
How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?
3 - 4 days 48%
2 - 3 days 44%
Not Completed 44%
5 - 6 days 44%
最新
最新
2026-05-30
< 2 days
20%
2 - 3 days
44%
3 - 4 days
48%
4 - 5 days
42%
5 - 6 days
44%
> 6 days
42%
Not Completed
44%
3 - 4 days 48%
2 - 3 days 44%
Not Completed 44%
5 - 6 days 44%
最新
最新
2026-05-30
< 2 days
$146 交易量
20%
2 - 3 days
$0 交易量
44%
3 - 4 days
$0 交易量
48%
4 - 5 days
$0 交易量
42%
5 - 6 days
$0 交易量
44%
> 6 days
$31 交易量
42%
Not Completed
$0 交易量
44%
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ant Middleton's high-profile Everest bid has left traders closely split across multiple time brackets, with implied probabilities clustered tightly between 44.5% and 48.5% for everything from 3–4 days through more than six days. The former SAS instructor's proven track record on extreme challenges like SAS: Who Dares Wins creates a baseline expectation of solid pacing, yet the inherent unpredictability of high-altitude conditions—weather windows, acclimatization demands, and physical toll—keeps several outcomes in play. Public training updates and expedition logistics have reinforced this balanced sentiment rather than favoring any single bracket. Live progress reports from the mountain remain the key upcoming catalyst that could quickly shift trader positioning.
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
交易量
$177結束日期
2026-05-30市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ant Middleton's high-profile Everest bid has left traders closely split across multiple time brackets, with implied probabilities clustered tightly between 44.5% and 48.5% for everything from 3–4 days through more than six days. The former SAS instructor's proven track record on extreme challenges like SAS: Who Dares Wins creates a baseline expectation of solid pacing, yet the inherent unpredictability of high-altitude conditions—weather windows, acclimatization demands, and physical toll—keeps several outcomes in play. Public training updates and expedition logistics have reinforced this balanced sentiment rather than favoring any single bracket. Live progress reports from the mountain remain the key upcoming catalyst that could quickly shift trader positioning.
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$177結束日期
2026-05-30市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ant Middleton's high-profile Everest bid has left traders closely split across multiple time brackets, with implied probabilities clustered tightly between 44.5% and 48.5% for everything from 3–4 days through more than six days. The former SAS instructor's proven track record on extreme challenges like SAS: Who Dares Wins creates a baseline expectation of solid pacing, yet the inherent unpredictability of high-altitude conditions—weather windows, acclimatization demands, and physical toll—keeps several outcomes in play. Public training updates and expedition logistics have reinforced this balanced sentiment rather than favoring any single bracket. Live progress reports from the mountain remain the key upcoming catalyst that could quickly shift trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions