Labour's poor performance in the May 2026 local elections, combined with national polls showing the party at roughly 22% support and gains for Reform UK, has heightened speculation that Prime Minister Keir Starmer may call an early general election to reset before the fixed term ends. Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, the prime minister holds sole discretion to request dissolution at any time before the August 2029 deadline. Traders focus on near-term catalysts such as upcoming by-elections and autumn policy announcements that could intensify internal Labour pressure or economic headwinds, while noting the absence of any immediate crisis forcing a 2026 vote. The wisdom of crowds in these markets reflects ongoing assessments of political volatility and timing incentives.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於英國大選由...召開？
英國大選由...召開？
$819,849 交易量
2026-12-31
December 31, 2026
17%
June 30, 2027
31%
$819,849 交易量
December 31, 2026
$24,736 交易量
17%
June 30, 2027
$3,965 交易量
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Labour's poor performance in the May 2026 local elections, combined with national polls showing the party at roughly 22% support and gains for Reform UK, has heightened speculation that Prime Minister Keir Starmer may call an early general election to reset before the fixed term ends. Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, the prime minister holds sole discretion to request dissolution at any time before the August 2029 deadline. Traders focus on near-term catalysts such as upcoming by-elections and autumn policy announcements that could intensify internal Labour pressure or economic headwinds, while noting the absence of any immediate crisis forcing a 2026 vote. The wisdom of crowds in these markets reflects ongoing assessments of political volatility and timing incentives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
交易量
$819,849結束日期
2025-12-31市場開放時間
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Labour's poor performance in the May 2026 local elections, combined with national polls showing the party at roughly 22% support and gains for Reform UK, has heightened speculation that Prime Minister Keir Starmer may call an early general election to reset before the fixed term ends. Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, the prime minister holds sole discretion to request dissolution at any time before the August 2029 deadline. Traders focus on near-term catalysts such as upcoming by-elections and autumn policy announcements that could intensify internal Labour pressure or economic headwinds, while noting the absence of any immediate crisis forcing a 2026 vote. The wisdom of crowds in these markets reflects ongoing assessments of political volatility and timing incentives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$819,849結束日期
2025-12-31市場開放時間
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Labour's poor performance in the May 2026 local elections, combined with national polls showing the party at roughly 22% support and gains for Reform UK, has heightened speculation that Prime Minister Keir Starmer may call an early general election to reset before the fixed term ends. Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, the prime minister holds sole discretion to request dissolution at any time before the August 2029 deadline. Traders focus on near-term catalysts such as upcoming by-elections and autumn policy announcements that could intensify internal Labour pressure or economic headwinds, while noting the absence of any immediate crisis forcing a 2026 vote. The wisdom of crowds in these markets reflects ongoing assessments of political volatility and timing incentives.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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