Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly Prince Andrew, faces an ongoing UK police investigation into allegations of misconduct in public office tied to his Epstein associations, but no charges have been filed since his February 2026 arrest and release under investigation. A High Court ruling in October 2026 quashed the search warrants as unlawful due to procedural errors, limiting usable evidence and prompting Andrew to challenge police actions further. Traders assign 97.3% implied probability against a prison sentence because criminal proceedings require formal charges, a trial, and conviction—steps that remain distant amid evidentiary setbacks and the complex nature of the offense. Potential shifts could arise from new disclosures in the separate fraud witness summons or additional Epstein-related material surfacing before any resolution.