Recent House action has sharply reduced near-term prospects for impeaching Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. On November 10, Republicans voted 211-204 to refer eight articles introduced by Rep. Thomas Massie to the Judiciary Committee, blocking a floor vote before Democrats assume control of the chamber in January 2027. The charges center on alleged violations of the War Powers Resolution through extended military operations in Iran, strikes on suspected drug vessels, and related actions in Yemen and Venezuela. Trader consensus reflected in prediction markets quickly adjusted downward for impeachment before year-end after the procedural defeat, though renewed efforts remain possible once Democrats hold the majority. Upcoming factors include any Senate dynamics after the transition and whether bipartisan support emerges for further proceedings.