Following significant losses for the governing Labour Party in last week’s local and devolved elections, recent polling from YouGov and other firms shows Keir Starmer’s net favourability holding steady near -46 and overall government approval ratings remaining largely unchanged from prior weeks. With no major new policy announcements, scandals, or economic data releases emerging in the past several days, traders appear to view the current period as one of consolidation rather than further erosion. This stability underpins the 66% implied probability that the weekly approval measure will move upward, reflecting the absence of fresh downward pressure on public sentiment amid ongoing challenges from Reform UK’s polling lead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Up
$250 交易量
$250 交易量
Up
$250 交易量
$250 交易量
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Following significant losses for the governing Labour Party in last week’s local and devolved elections, recent polling from YouGov and other firms shows Keir Starmer’s net favourability holding steady near -46 and overall government approval ratings remaining largely unchanged from prior weeks. With no major new policy announcements, scandals, or economic data releases emerging in the past several days, traders appear to view the current period as one of consolidation rather than further erosion. This stability underpins the 66% implied probability that the weekly approval measure will move upward, reflecting the absence of fresh downward pressure on public sentiment amid ongoing challenges from Reform UK’s polling lead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions