The UK Home Office’s April 2026 decision to withdraw Kanye West’s electronic travel authorisation, citing that his presence would not be conducive to the public good over his history of antisemitic statements, has solidified trader conviction that he will not visit the UK by June 30. This ban directly derailed his planned Wireless Festival headline run, forcing the event’s cancellation and prompting sponsor pullouts, with no subsequent official reversal or new entry application reported in the past month. While the market-implied 91.9 percent probability for “No” reflects this firm immigration stance, a successful legal challenge or last-minute policy shift by UK authorities could still open the door for an unexpected arrival before the deadline.