D4vd (David Burke) faces first-degree murder charges with special circumstances, plus continuous sexual abuse of a child under 14 and mutilation of remains, in the 2025 death of 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez. Arrested in April 2026 and held without bail, he pleaded not guilty; a July preliminary hearing produced enough evidence for trial, with arraignment set for August 31. California capital cases move slowly through discovery, motions, and scheduling, making any release before year-end highly unlikely and driving the 93.5% market-implied probability for “No.” A fast plea deal, successful bail motion, or case dismissal could theoretically shift outcomes, though current proceedings and evidence strength make those scenarios remote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於D4vd released from custody in 2026?
D4vd released from custody in 2026?
7% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
7% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.D4vd (David Burke) faces first-degree murder charges with special circumstances, plus continuous sexual abuse of a child under 14 and mutilation of remains, in the 2025 death of 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez. Arrested in April 2026 and held without bail, he pleaded not guilty; a July preliminary hearing produced enough evidence for trial, with arraignment set for August 31. California capital cases move slowly through discovery, motions, and scheduling, making any release before year-end highly unlikely and driving the 93.5% market-implied probability for “No.”
A fast plea deal, successful bail motion, or case dismissal could theoretically shift outcomes, though current proceedings and evidence strength make those scenarios remote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 23, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$7,810結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 23, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.D4vd (David Burke) faces first-degree murder charges with special circumstances, plus continuous sexual abuse of a child under 14 and mutilation of remains, in the 2025 death of 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez. Arrested in April 2026 and held without bail, he pleaded not guilty; a July preliminary hearing produced enough evidence for trial, with arraignment set for August 31. California capital cases move slowly through discovery, motions, and scheduling, making any release before year-end highly unlikely and driving the 93.5% market-implied probability for “No.”
A fast plea deal, successful bail motion, or case dismissal could theoretically shift outcomes, though current proceedings and evidence strength make those scenarios remote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,810結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 23, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...D4vd (David Burke) faces first-degree murder charges with special circumstances, plus continuous sexual abuse of a child under 14 and mutilation of remains, in the 2025 death of 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez. Arrested in April 2026 and held without bail, he pleaded not guilty; a July preliminary hearing produced enough evidence for trial, with arraignment set for August 31. California capital cases move slowly through discovery, motions, and scheduling, making any release before year-end highly unlikely and driving the 93.5% market-implied probability for “No.” A fast plea deal, successful bail motion, or case dismissal could theoretically shift outcomes, though current proceedings and evidence strength make those scenarios remote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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