Trader consensus on the "No" outcome for Little Joe escaping again by July 31, 2026 sits at 96.7 percent implied probability, reflecting the 33-year-old silverback gorilla's advanced age and reduced physical agility compared to his 2003 Franklin Park Zoo breakout. Since that incident, Boston's Franklin Park Zoo has implemented major enclosure upgrades and security protocols that have prevented any repeat escapes over the past 23 years. The market launched amid viral attention around Little Joe's controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding purposes, where meticulous transport and adaptation procedures further minimize breakout risks. While rare logistical glitches during the move or adjustment to the new habitat could theoretically create upset potential, zoo experts' established track record makes such scenarios highly unlikely before the deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於小祖會再次逃脫嗎？
小祖會再次逃脫嗎？
是
最新
最新
2026-07-31
是
最新
最新
2026-07-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Trader consensus on the "No" outcome for Little Joe escaping again by July 31, 2026 sits at 96.7 percent implied probability, reflecting the 33-year-old silverback gorilla's advanced age and reduced physical agility compared to his 2003 Franklin Park Zoo breakout. Since that incident, Boston's Franklin Park Zoo has implemented major enclosure upgrades and security protocols that have prevented any repeat escapes over the past 23 years. The market launched amid viral attention around Little Joe's controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding purposes, where meticulous transport and adaptation procedures further minimize breakout risks. While rare logistical glitches during the move or adjustment to the new habitat could theoretically create upset potential, zoo experts' established track record makes such scenarios highly unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$774結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Trader consensus on the "No" outcome for Little Joe escaping again by July 31, 2026 sits at 96.7 percent implied probability, reflecting the 33-year-old silverback gorilla's advanced age and reduced physical agility compared to his 2003 Franklin Park Zoo breakout. Since that incident, Boston's Franklin Park Zoo has implemented major enclosure upgrades and security protocols that have prevented any repeat escapes over the past 23 years. The market launched amid viral attention around Little Joe's controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding purposes, where meticulous transport and adaptation procedures further minimize breakout risks. While rare logistical glitches during the move or adjustment to the new habitat could theoretically create upset potential, zoo experts' established track record makes such scenarios highly unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
交易量
$774結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the "No" outcome for Little Joe escaping again by July 31, 2026 sits at 96.7 percent implied probability, reflecting the 33-year-old silverback gorilla's advanced age and reduced physical agility compared to his 2003 Franklin Park Zoo breakout. Since that incident, Boston's Franklin Park Zoo has implemented major enclosure upgrades and security protocols that have prevented any repeat escapes over the past 23 years. The market launched amid viral attention around Little Joe's controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding purposes, where meticulous transport and adaptation procedures further minimize breakout risks. While rare logistical glitches during the move or adjustment to the new habitat could theoretically create upset potential, zoo experts' established track record makes such scenarios highly unlikely before the deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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