Elon Musk's recent posting rhythm on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market favorite for the May 16-18 window. Traders are tracking his established pattern of moderate daily activity outside major breaking news cycles, with a mix of original posts, replies, and reposts that typically land in the low-to-mid teens per day when no high-stakes political or product announcements dominate his feed. Ongoing commentary on current events has sustained steady engagement without triggering the heavier volume spikes seen during launches or controversies, keeping the next bin at 65-89 a distant second. With the three-day period still unfolding, any sudden escalation in real-time reactions could shift momentum toward higher counts, though the current trajectory aligns with historical mid-range outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於40-64 66%
65-89 31%
90-114 2.1%
少於40 <1%
$597,259 交易量
$597,259 交易量
2026-05-18
少於40
1%
40-64
66%
65-89
31%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 66%
65-89 31%
90-114 2.1%
少於40 <1%
$597,259 交易量
$597,259 交易量
2026-05-18
少於40
$163,940 交易量
1%
40-64
$51,296 交易量
66%
65-89
$58,546 交易量
31%
90-114
$81,986 交易量
2%
115-139
$60,313 交易量
<1%
140-164
$59,592 交易量
<1%
165-189
$53,265 交易量
<1%
190-214
$36,291 交易量
<1%
215-239
$15,853 交易量
<1%
240+
$18,696 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent posting rhythm on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market favorite for the May 16-18 window. Traders are tracking his established pattern of moderate daily activity outside major breaking news cycles, with a mix of original posts, replies, and reposts that typically land in the low-to-mid teens per day when no high-stakes political or product announcements dominate his feed. Ongoing commentary on current events has sustained steady engagement without triggering the heavier volume spikes seen during launches or controversies, keeping the next bin at 65-89 a distant second. With the three-day period still unfolding, any sudden escalation in real-time reactions could shift momentum toward higher counts, though the current trajectory aligns with historical mid-range outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$597,259結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent posting rhythm on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market favorite for the May 16-18 window. Traders are tracking his established pattern of moderate daily activity outside major breaking news cycles, with a mix of original posts, replies, and reposts that typically land in the low-to-mid teens per day when no high-stakes political or product announcements dominate his feed. Ongoing commentary on current events has sustained steady engagement without triggering the heavier volume spikes seen during launches or controversies, keeping the next bin at 65-89 a distant second. With the three-day period still unfolding, any sudden escalation in real-time reactions could shift momentum toward higher counts, though the current trajectory aligns with historical mid-range outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$597,259結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's recent posting rhythm on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market favorite for the May 16-18 window. Traders are tracking his established pattern of moderate daily activity outside major breaking news cycles, with a mix of original posts, replies, and reposts that typically land in the low-to-mid teens per day when no high-stakes political or product announcements dominate his feed. Ongoing commentary on current events has sustained steady engagement without triggering the heavier volume spikes seen during launches or controversies, keeping the next bin at 65-89 a distant second. With the three-day period still unfolding, any sudden escalation in real-time reactions could shift momentum toward higher counts, though the current trajectory aligns with historical mid-range outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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